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Counter suggestion to dr1ftec
He is using some low ass sales to reprice the bubbling dogger, this effects the lower end of the range to a ridiculous way. This is basically a refresher for the current price.
Sales:
(27/04/14) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19480971 bought for 1 bud 5 keys pure = 1.26 buds ~ 1.3
(15/04/14) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19215968 sold for http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2520178262,98,5 ->bliz. storm pot= 1.15 (22keys)- (3 keys) = 1 bud (no overpay since he was asking for that specific hat)
(27/04/14) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19469382 sold for http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19434836 ->1.1 x 0.9 (overpay) = 0.99 ~ 1 bud
(23/02/14) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18032822 sold for an aces high bubble pipe -> Old and for an unpriced hat (assumingly high end outlier)
Outlier:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19302214 - sold for http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19345125 (i've added him to see if anything was added)
-> on it's own 14-18 keys
Summary:
2x 1 bud sales
1x 1.3 sale
1x unpriced
1x outlier (low)
Counterproof/comments/upvotes appreciated
Mini suggestion required for bliz storm pot.
2 currently for sale:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19473359 B/O: 26 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19517701 B/O: 25 keys
Offers on those trades:
1 bud pure for the pot.
ill do 23 keys for the pot
(all rejected)
Sale:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18224046 for 1 bud 2 keys
And obviously the jeecap sale.
Offers on the bliz. storm. jeecap:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19477825#p54637797
Blizzardly Storm Stout Shako
strange pro ks sniper rifle + black bills
Aces high hetmans (trade offer)
unsual connoisseurs cap steaming (added me)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19263655#latest
1bud
1 bud and a strange holuday punch+ sweets
counterfeit billycock orbiting fire + 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19480971
strange pro frying pan
Stormy Storm Little Buddy
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19513459
O. Fire Gentlemen's Gatsby painted australium gold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19505590
I'd go for items and a decent price
Just for some context, also none of these were/have been accepted.
NEW SALE (30/04/14): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19480971 sold for steaming connoisseurs cap + 2 keys in sweets. -> 23 +2 = 25 x0.9 = 22.5 keys ~ 1.2 buds
Supports that range is correct
Mini on Conn:
1 sold for a jumpers jeecap
1 sold for a hotrod with circling peace, He added 5 keys pure + 1 key in sweets
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19477825#latest
Suggests it sells for 1-1.3 buds
So at least 2 invalid sales in your proof.
First of all, your 3rd link - "1 bud sale". He didn't sell it for smoking familiar fez. Check the history.
Secondly, first link is the same link lol. And still no proof that he "bought for 1 bud 5 keys pure".
Castiel666xD #Unboxer#8Unusuals: hey man you bought a blizzardy storm jeecap right?
Doppleganger: 1.2 buds
Castiel666xD #Unboxer#8Unusuals: how many keys was it?
Doppleganger: .5 keys
Castiel666xD #Unboxer#8Unusuals: ok and that was pure?
Doppleganger: Yes
So the 1st link is valid, and which link is duped?
Fez history cowboy crow -> Mr name
Maybe i made a mistake and the jeecap went straight to dople, but it doesnt change the fact i still have 1 low end valid sale and 1 high end valid sale.
So new summary:
1x 1.3 bud sale
1x 1 bud sale
1x 1.2 bud sale
1x outlier (low)
1x too old & unpriced
This still supports my range.
Emmm. I can write right now the chat with smb that he bought that hat for 1 key, don't think that it will be valid proof. Any screenies of the inventory history or at least of the chat?
The 3rd link is duped. First link tells that he "bought for 1 bud 5 keys" and then you say that he bought it for smoking familiar fez which is not true actually - check the history of fez and jeepcap. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19469382
Talking about your last proof in comments - "NEW SALE". Any proof actually? It's not in his bp, but history says that he still got it. Looks like it's on SCM, otherwise show the proof, don't throw words around.
I now realize the fez trade isn't accurate which is why i didn't use it in the new summary^
OK lets do this, I bought the connoisseurs cap from Dopple. It's IN my bp, I had the circling peace hotrod, he added 5 keys and a spec big earner. He sould have the circling peace hotrod in his bp now.
Where the jeecap is: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097586894
Where the hotrod is: http://steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561198082136231/inventory/
Where i have the conn cap: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071299371
So thats 1 down, now as for the chat, I copied and pasted it when we were talking so i could have proof, but after that he tried to buy the circling peace hotrod from me and he got the cap, we traded, etc. Anyway we are still friends but unfortunately when he went offline I closed the chat window. This means I only have a limited view of what was recently said and if you know of some logs of steam chats or something please let me know.
EDIT: I figured out what happened xD so Dopple bought the hat for 1 bud 5 keys, then Mr name must have used the bud to buy the fez, I tried to see if the bud was still in one of their bps, but its long gone.
You can just ask him to make a screenie of his inventory history, that would be great.
P.S. closing mine, cos bubbling hot dogger sale seems to be outlier to me as well now.
I will try and catch him next time he is online, but we are on opposite sides of the earth and I have uni tomorrow xD Sorry I fought so hard, I get aggressive when it's one of my hats being suggested on, especially one I unboxed. Unfortunately I have no counter proof to fight the other suggestion out against my blizzardy storm pampered pyro :( Good luck in future suggests dr1ftec
Thanks, I fight for my suggestions to the last. But here I have to admit that you're right.
3 keys were added to the smoking fez: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064923835?time=1398582000 - that sale is ~1.2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19215968 - no overpay should be applied here since that's exactly what he wanted. more than likely he was the one overpaying since he offered on the other guy's trade. he added ~3 keys in items as the overpay
This sale is still ~1
Range seems close