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Please read through and offer suggestions to adjust price or help provide more proof.
I'm basing this price far more on offers I've received than just the 1 sale that has happened in the last several months.
Yes I realize this range is fucking huge and should probably be fine tuned but have not the brain power to do so.
First, the sale:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18573189
This sold + 2 buds and a sf pro huntsman for a roboactive regge
The Huntsman: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19297459 - based on parts (Headshot + Domination + Long-Distance)
and killstreak (Daffodil with Singularity) I believe the proper price would be about 1.7 buds (1 bud 14 keys)
The Reggae: www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19343487
It has no official price, but previous solds have been around 12-13 buds mixed. However the current offers for the hat look to be 17~25 buds in new effect unusuals with few hard sales to prove their prices listed.
At most, this trade looks to be a 10 bud deal depending on how you interpret the prices. Taking 10% off mixed overpay, 9 buds.
The other hat on the market besides the recent sell:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19417713
Current offer is a KaW Warpig.
My hat: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19088776
Decent offers included a Green Energy Samur-eye which sold for an Eerie Beak + 1 bud (8 buds midrange ~ 9 buds total) to which he added 4 keys to. Whether that brings up the value of the Samur-eye or lowers the price of the beak, I leave that up to you guys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19299771
A KaW Company man was also offered, as well as a Stormy Storm Pullover which has been increasing in mixed prices lately if you care to track it.
Any unusual or mixed offer around the current price has, as always, been rejected (Mid price, 6 buds which is where I get my low end). With only 3 hats in existence, there are just not that many sales. I bought my hat sometime in November for a Cloud 9 Gentleman's Ushanka + 1 pure (about 6 buds), but that was ages ago, and frankly not even in the running. But, at least it's an actual sale I can track.
I appreciate any and all proofs of this price needing to be lowered or improved. Math is not a strong suit for me, but its been well over a year since this price has been adjusted.
b/o of 7.5 buds - guess it was not sold for more than b/o - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18910638
b/o of 6 buds - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19088776
Also sold for Terror-Watt Gentleman's Ushanka + 1.8 Buds + Vintage Specialized Kritzkrieg + Strange Pro Bonesaw (Mean Green Fire Horns) 1 month ago here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18507142 - Terror-Watt Ushanka: unpriced, but b/o of 34 keys (QS) here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19075561 and b/o of 2 buds here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19609306 and b/o of 40 keys here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19441979 - so a conservative ~2 pure seems legit
Finally: Ushanka (2*0.9=1.8) + 1.8 pure + sweets (0.5) = ~4.1
In the end clear downvote from me
While I agree this price is old and terrible, you can't price with an unpriced hat; which is where the range from the sold one comes from.
Man, I would love to go through and price that one as well but I just don't have the time to. The best I can do is run around trying to find rejected offers of things that have prices. Which goes back more than a month, making most of those invalid anyways. if I have to take out the sale, what am I even left with for fixing the price of this hat?
Welcome to the fun world of unusual suggesting!
But yeah, it's a time sink. I would recommend following up with the links Angelus commented or heading over to the forums to help. Many people there have premium and can search backpacks and their histories to help you.
I suppose pricing more hats is better than pricing none. I will work on that when time allows.
You will need to show the solds on the reggae to prove the value is as you say. Everything else here is based on offers, which alone are not enough