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~58.5 keys
surge
Unusual Defiant Spartan Power Surge
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This hat has been selling like hotcakes in the past few weeks, time to give it a price.

(Thanks to Mapleman for the heads up that the Swagman's would need a mini-suggestion )


Sale 1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19641748

Sold for a Terror Watt Swagman' s Swatter (4 buds) however, this price may be slightly outdate, check mini suggestion below,it may be closer to 3.5.

With overpay 3.5 * 0.9 = 3.15 = 3.2 buds

Proof:

Buyers BP before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082843197?time=1399359600

Buyers BP after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082843197?time=1399446000


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Swagman mini-suggestion:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17377539 - B/O 3.5 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19016738 - B/O 3.5 buds

With these two trades at 3.5 bud buyouts both for over a month it would seem getting 4 buds for this may be a bit outdated.

Conservatively using 3.5 buds for Swagman's value here

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Sale 2: Previous to the above sale this specific PS Spartan was sold for a phospherous Spartan (N/A price)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18178816

Any sales for this specific hat past this are getting a bit too old so i haven't included them. (2 months +)


Sale 3: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19652438

Offered PS Spartan for a Miami Bear Necessities (3.5) + Sweets (2 keys pure plus a pink All father ~ 2 keys = 4 keys total, 0.2 buds) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19522956 therefore no overpay

3.5 + 0.2 = 3.7 buds

Proof:

Buyers backpack before : http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045690143?time=1399100400 Miami Bear + All Father +keys visible

Buyers backpack after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045690143?time=1399359600


Sale 4: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19277175

Sold for an Aces High Cheiftan's Challenge (2.25 buds) after overpay 2 buds

Proof:

Buyers backpack before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062972949?time=1398150000

Buyers backpack after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062972949?time=1398236400


*Note*


This sale may be an outlier, due to the fact that this hat was only priced in the last few days and that was sold a week ago, so the buyer may have valued it at higher than it appears now. Also due to the large price discrepancy between this trade and the others one recorded i am ruling this as an outlier.


Sale 5: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19056688

Sold for a Miami Masters Yellow Belt (3.5 buds) confirmed by seller in comments of his Miami Belt trade : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19128044

As i am unable to ascertain who traded for who's unusual I will not be applying overpay: 3.5 buds

Proof:

Sellers backpack before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069950455?time=1396854000

Sellers backpack after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069950455?time=1397458800


Summary:

In the last month there has been 5 sales of this hat.

One at 3.2, 3.7 and 3.5 buds respectively after overpay.

One was at 2 buds after overpay (outlier)

And one was for a phospherous Spartan (N/A price)


Conclusion: As there are 3 sales in a fairly close range, set price range to 3.2 - 3.7 buds


Comments, suggestions and feedback are always welcome :)


- Capes, le Spartan Pricer (Spartan's priced so far: 7)

    lol making price suggestions is harder than doing your homework.

    nice proof