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4 month old price
Sold for Dead Presidents Horrific Headsplitter (~3.2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19520033 (Executioner)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19534645 (Headsplitter)
Sold for Cloudy Moon Pith Helm (~4, 5 months outdated so take it as you will especially since the Executioner owner added an unknown amount)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19146487
Sold for 3 buds in less than a day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19657878
Sold for Max Head (~3), took a week to sell
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19399156
Sold for Max Head + 10 keys = ~3.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16891030
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16445043 - offered bubbling ex + 1 recently
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19657878 - 3 goes fast even in pure
I have a feeling 3-4 would be a better range as quickly as this sells for 3. There seem to be offers topping out close to 4 plus that moon pith sale.
That Bubbling Executioner + 18 keys offer is a month old so not exactly recent and they bought an Orbiting Fire one instead http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18588191
I was a bit leery about including the Pith sale since that is an outdated price but I did a bit of digging on the clean one involved in the executioner sale and it's suggesting a drop in price, 3.9-4 to be specific. After applying overpay that would be ~3.6 and since it's likely the sale involved the executioner owner adding at least a key or two then this is equal to or less than my high end of 3.5 buds.
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/536d30304dd7b8d3038b4b2b
Oh, alright. Thanks for checking up on that.