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[Proof below]
a year old price
Overpay applied
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18379340
-sold for 2 buds + 6 keys (~2.3)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19496392
-added a bud for searing phantom (~2.3)
-phantom was offered --> no overpay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18801452
-sold for 2 buds + 8 keys + spec.huntsman* w/parts (~3)
* http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19694632
-bought for 7 keys
sold mine for smoking copper + bubbling rat + nuts ketche + planets bombing
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18869939#my
which is 2.4~ if it's with overpay and 2.7 if overpay isn't taken
i just donn't know when to use overpay and not to use it :P sorry,helps the suggestion anyways
i recently sold mine for 46 keys if that helps or something.
recently as in yesterday
So many on the market with 3 buds b/o that 3 bud sale looks like an outlier imo