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Its been a while, this needs another bump down.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081114534?time=1399791600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081114534?time=1399964400
Sold for C9 brain bucket + P.fetti safe n sound + hearts bucket hat, outpost history will indicate the same.
Depending on how overpay is calculated, you get either:
(1.6+1.5+2.8)*0.9=5.3 buds using average price with 10% overpay.
or
1.2+1.2+2.6=5.0 buds using low end overpay.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16457688
Sold, was willing to take Dead Pres beak, 5.5 buds, or 5.0/5.3 buds with overpay, although is it somewhat unclear what it sold for.
Current trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19718993 5 bud b/o, nearly a week old, willing to take blizzy ushanka (2.4) + 2 buds, no notable offers.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19759436 5 bud b/o several days old, no notable offers.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19748286 asking 4.7 buds/ 85 keys. several days old, no notable offers.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18989513 asking 5.5, 1+ month old.
From the sale, the fact that the owner was willing to take a DP beak, and buyouts from current trades, I'm making a conservative drop/price update mix to 5-5.3 buds.
Only notable offer on any of the current trades is an 85 key offer from 2 weeks ago, presumably no longer valid and also lower than the current range.
Any counterproof/constructive criticism is welcome