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~13 keys
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Unusual Ye Oiled Baker Boy Nuts n' Bolts
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Comments

Proof below. Overpay calculated. Original prices used


Sales

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065808987?time=1399359600 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065808987?time=1399446000

For the next two sales:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2572897496,30019,5 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2571803390,106,5

Orb Fire Bonk = 18 keys


http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2575797460,30019,5 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2574938113,30021,5

DP Tin Capotain = 18 keys


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078872534?time=1397113200 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078872534?time=1397199600

Bubbling Fruit = 16 keys


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080901033?time=1397718000 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080901033?time=1397804400

NnB Samur = 18 keys


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19627693 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19630495

Planets Pencil = 15 keys


Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3

    Eh... 15 seems like an outlier.

      Eh... It's right next to the 16 key sale

        Still think 16-18 would be more accurate

          Why 16 and not 15? ^^ There's one sale at each and they're practically right next to each other.