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Resuggesting with corrected range
Overpay calculated...
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19439342 - sold for KaW glengarry bonnet (~2.2)+ prof aussie gren launcher (~2) + spec aussie sticky (~1.5) + 10 keys (0.6) = ~6.7*0,9 + 0.6 = ~5.5 ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036339555?time=1398927600 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19364212 - sold for dbd milkman ~4.7*0,9 = ~4.2 ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059639546?time=1398495600 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19138335 - sold for roboactive hermes ~4.4*0,9= ~4
DBD Milkman:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19439507 - sold for miami tyrants helmet ~5*0,9 = ~4.5 ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059639546?time=1398668400 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19502593 - sold for dbd topi (~2.35*0,9 = ~2.1) + 1 bud pure + 34 keys (1.9) = ~5 ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049104884?time=1399532400 )
Miami Tyrants:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19408701 - sold for miami reg ~5.3*0,9 = ~4.8 ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19473745 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18651921 - sold for GE phantom ~5.8*0,9 = ~5.2 ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18731476 )
DBD Topi:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18993254 - sold for blizzardy storm noble ammassment of hats ~2.6*0,9 = ~2.3 (at that moment)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18796690 + miami bot dogger (~2.4*0,9=~2.2) for logo exectutioner ~5.1*0,9 = ~4.6 = ~2.4( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18798009 )
KaW bonnet:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18657304 - bought for smoking pillar of hats ~2.3*0,9 = ~2.1 (at that moment) ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057924587?time=1395126000 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19192753 - sold for phosphorous dixie ~2.5*0,9 = ~2.3 ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19412170 )
About phosphorous dixie: no recent sales, 2 on market.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19412170 - 2.7 b/o
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18849714 - 3 b/o
Roboactive hermes:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19267338 - sold for aces tousle ~3.8*0,9 = 3.4 + sweets (~0.6) = ~4 ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024174146?time=1397816079 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18864711 - sold for GE fedora ~5.3*0,9 = ~4.8 ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19342367 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17696439 - sold for stormy storm stuff muffs ~5.5*0,9 = ~5 (quite old tho) ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17793547 )
Aces tossle:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19525336 - sold for sunbeams detective noir ~3.8*0,9 = ~3.4 ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19683123 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19784322 + 32 keys (1.8) + smoking your worst nightmare (~1.1*0,9 = ~1) for miami war pig (~7.5*0,9 = 6,8) = ~4( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043844899?time=1400036997 )
Spent SO much time on doing it - so many unpriced hats, outdated prices and all that stuff -______-
You have a sale at 4 and another at 4.2, that 5.5 is an outlier and where are you getting the prices for the professional/specialized aspects anyways?
Already replied on that - trade.tf
I don't think that 5.5 is an outlier
is trade tf valid for mini suggesting :?
Yes, it is.
What is more, trade.tf is the only source of proof which values killstreaks as far as backpack.tf rejects killstreaks valuation.
trade.tf is the shittiest thing for valuing killstreaks. a unique pro knife a month or so ago was 9 keys, yet I had no success at selling one for 4 keys. GET some actual proof for those please.
Oh god, cmon guys. That's ridiculous.
Prof ks gl kits:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19772956 - 16 keys, sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19808543 - 18 keys, sold
Pro aussie gl:
http://www.trade.tf/trade/525199448 - 2.5 buds, sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19762128 - 40 keys, sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19764807 - sold for aussie sniper = 2.4
SCM (no steam tax):
04.05 - sold for 68$ = 2 buds
07.05 - sold for 68$ = 2 buds
15.05 - sold for 97$ = 2.9 buds
16.05 - sold for 50$ = 1.5 buds
Counting 1 bud = 34$
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Grenade%20Launcher
P.S. pro kit on unique wep, oh dear
Because So many people Value their Killstreaks differently. Plus, Pro Killstreaks are tricky as you can have different combinations of Killstreaker Effects + Sheens.
As mentioned, the 5.5 sale is probably an outlier. I highly doubt that the prof kit for the grenade launcher is worth a bud
Proof goes above, sry, but you're mistaking.
P.S. from personal experience, I would say that almost all prof kits for stock primary weps cost around a bud each.
Prof gl kits:
SCM (no steam tax included)
10.05 - sold for 25,7$ = 0.75 buds
11.05 - sold for 26,9$ = 0.8 buds
12.05 - sold for 30,6$ = 0.9 buds
13.05 - sold for 31,6$ = 0.93 buds
15.05 - 1 sold for 33,2$ = 0.97 buds, 1 sold for 29,3$ = 0.85 buds
17.05 - 1 sold for 31,5$ = 0.92 buds, 1 sold for 26,4$ = 0.78 buds
Taking buds as 34$
And so on. Should I continue?
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Professional%20Killstreak%20Grenade%20Launcher%20Kit
2 sales at 4ish then 1 at 5.5. You can clearly see the problem here. The 5.5 one is an outlier.
Castiel666xD #Unboxer#8Unusuals who unboxed this unusual and sold it for roboactive hermes valued this sale as 5 buds. He already replied on my previous suggestion and I'll just quote him:
"As the unboxer of this hat, and the person who sold it for the roboactive hermes, I have to say this range looks good and is where I expected it to land value wise. The hermes seems to get offers of ~5 buds (but I'm trying for 6 cause I'm a profit whore). I know for sure the sale of the dbd milkman for it was solid too as I helped my friend sell it (and fought against a bad suggest on the dbd milkman xD). Solid effort and solid proof! :D upboats!"
So I won't agree that 5.5 is an outlier. It's a new unusual misc, it's a very popular misc and it's a nice 1st gen effect. I really doubt that 1st gen peace sign can cost twice as much as Orb.Fire.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19364212 :
an offer of Eerie voodoo juju ~5.9 buds (price outdated tho)
an offer of TW samur-eye ~6.4 buds (outdated tho)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19138335 - here was an offer of KaW wraith wrap. As far as TW wraith wrap is priced at 7.5 buds, I don't think KaW one will cost lower than 5 buds.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19439342 - an offer of C9 pirate bandana ~5.5 + sweets
So I'm pretty sure it's not an outlier.
It's a hat, I stand by my opinion.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19643219 took 10 days to sell for 3 orbiting fire hats that are over his b/o of 3 pure. 5.5 and this sale are probably outliers. The 2 sales in the middle should be used