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Proof below. Overpay calculated. Original prices used
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19550964 - 16 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069116521?time=1395471600 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069116521?time=1395817200
Aces Rag + 2 keys in items = 19 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126314450?time=1396076400 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126314450?time=1396162800
Blizz Belgium = 1.6 buds (Outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2477484531,30025,5 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2549346938,614,5
Stormy Dogger = 21 keys
Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3