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Retired hat, 1st gen effect, possible misc hype (like soldiers stash), 2 month old price and time for a bump :)
Sale 1 (invalid since it was a 1:1 with unrpriced): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19968542 Sold for a miami tyrants (tyrant owner added 2 keys)
Sale 2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19695597 Sold for 4 buds pure + craft 94 brawling buc. + miscs (like pink veil, fast learner, etc) Rough estimate 10 keys worth of sweets. 4.6 buds worth
Sale 3: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19804006 Sold for max's + 1 bud, so 4 buds
Sale 4: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19231103 says himself "just sold it for 4 pure, 3 keys, 8 ref, pink ebenezer, mercs muffler, pink essential accesories. Sorry mate" On rico's comment. So 4 buds + ~12 keys 4.7 buds
Current sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12529687 offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20001403 6 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19986401 offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19850776 5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19829082 5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19959553 offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19763445 cashing out
This seems to have some hype... Don't ask me why xD
The 4.6 sale is the only one where i doubt my math skillz (let me know how to price a craft #94 item xD) but it works more as support to my range.
Please feel free to post proof/counter proof/ comments down below.