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~655 keys
misty
Unusual Brown Bomber Misty Skull
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18933731 KS Bonk + 13th Jefe

14 + 11.5 = 25.5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19900033

21.5 - 4.5 = 17 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20007503 wants 25


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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19563766 Robo Bonk + Scorching Hound (Gifted) + Cauldron Fancy Fedora

16 + x + x

histories here:

bomber: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2557915727,671,5

bonk: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2592090520,451,5

fedora: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2557915722,55,5

hound: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2592090522,145,5


gifted hound mini suggestion

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19700970 flies dome (old) for RA Bonk + Hound

thats the only sale i can find, its not traded much, The crones has sold for 20ish in pure before, so it sold for ~4

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19860136 wants 4 for the gifted dog

Plus I bumped the clean on up to 5-6, so 3.5 for a gifted is more than likely fair.


cauldron fedora mini suggestion

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15324625 sold for a bulk price

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17912693 sold in 3 days for 3 pure about 4 months ago

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19477203 sold for about 4-4.5

its probably fair to call it 4


16 (bonk w/ overpay) + 3.5 (gifted hound) + 4(Cauldron Fedora) = 23.5


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In conclusion, the PE Exec is an outlier. Calling it 23.5-25.5 seems fair.


huge shoutout to grimes and gwhat for helping me

    13th hour jefe has an 8 month old price. And that sale is setting the high end. Some proof that that is 14 after overpay is needed


    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19478540 - it was also sold here. b/o was 25, so the high end can't be higher than that

      i made a suggestion for the 13th jefe..

        Yeah, the jefe suggestion looks off. For reference; http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5382b3014dd7b828428b476b


        That's probably closer to ~13.5-14.5. Which puts that first sale at ~24

          i will take a look at it. if i do that i should resuggest a range of what? 23.5-24?

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19140280 - b/o 23

            http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058780448?time=1396767600 - aces high hoc + 7.3 pure


            Sales at 17, 17, <23, 23.5, 24. Eh. I dunno. 23-24 seems high. 17-24 seems low.

              hm, after crunching some numbers, after no sale appears to be an outlier now. I was thinking of doing like 20-23, I'm not sure if thats allowed, but its probably the most accurate

                Honestly, I think the current range is ~accurate. lol. Not necessarily precise.... but the mean of ~21.5 seems about right. But we would be pulling those numbers out of our asses. My preference is to wait for more sales. But I don't want to force your hand one way or the other. You are welcome to make a new suggestion with a range you feel is right. I can say that this range is too high, so you should close this.

                  well if you look at the history, the sales have only been going up in this order

                  >23, 17, 23.5, 24, 17. the buy that bought the PE Exec told grimes that he knew he was overpaying a shitload, so perhaps 23-24 is the right range

      Also, the Fedora was involved in: Misty Bomber + Fancy for the Bonk and Jefe (or so I have been told)