2 recent sales, other/s happened months ago

Other owner unboxed it and doesn't plan to sell

Sale 1

Sold for a Scorching Tossle* + 22 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19957924

12.2 + 1.3

Final sale value - 13.5

Sale 2

Sold for a Miami KE

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20039683

~18.5 after overpay, B/O was 15

Final sale value - 15 buds

*Mini-suggestion for Scorching Tossle

~ Duped, rejected 12 pure

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19722267

~ Clean, sold for 12

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19613642

~ Notable Recent offers on all still on the market; (I know some prices are outdated)

- TF Logo TC + 1 bud (~12)

- 10 pure

Pricing the Tossle at 12-15, mid point being 13.5

Counter-proof / supporting proof / constructive criticism is encouraged