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This, I think it surely needs a slight drop.
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19919696 (sold for a max + 10 keys ~3.75)
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19623304 (wants 4, gets offered 3 pure + 4 keys and sweets in 2 keys ~3.3)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18600442 (no b/o set, got offered 3 pure, outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20051596 (got offered 2, outlier - also got offered a steam tc, 4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19559166 (got offered 3 pure + 25 keys - declined -- 2 weeks ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19958322 (got offered a dp antler ~4.8, after overpay ~4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19809922 (wants 4.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19995178 (offered c9 hermes ~4)
First link sold in 2 days
Also every link you provided are duped except http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19809922 this one
1 thing, you cant set the lowend on offer's or use offers at all, mainly because the owners of the trades turned down the offers, because they are expecting more. and since it didnt sell for the offer, it cant be used as proof. (offers can only be used to raise a price, but i may be wrong)
Thanks for the suggestion, but as indicated, these are all dupes. Prices on the site are based on cleans