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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20092349 - b/o 12
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20069595 - b/o 12
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20067488 - sold all this for a bud making the bloke 11 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19998251 - b/o 11? quicksale? actually sold for some lowcrafts
I sold mine, the last link, for a #9 Pop-Eyes and a #81 El Muchacho + some metal.
Not 11 keys.
I see, but I still have another sale at 11 and I can't really price crafts.
Why include 12 keys in your range?
Lowest b/os are 12, called being conservative. Only works when lowering a range however.
I personally think that 11 keys flat will be better here considering that those 2 sales have a b/o of 11 keys. And also, the low craft items sale may potentially be lower than 11 keys. If the current sellers managed to sell at 12 keys, then this range may work. But for now, since we still do not know whether 12 keys will sell or not, a flat price may be better.
Well just my opinion
I'll see what the mods think, I prefer to be conservative here since the first link's seller had a original b/o of 13, then lowered it to 12.
Another sale which is around 13 keys since his b/o is 13 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19674856
Sold for killstreak big kill + 3 miscs
That seems like a lucky outlier considering its over the high range of the original range.
EDIT: A big kill is already 13 keys and the 3 miscs add up to a key or so making it more in the 14 range, which I consider to be a lucky outlier.
"Lucky outlier"...
The hat was painted Black and my Big Kill had a cheesy killstreak on it. The killstreak set itself is being sold on the Steam Market for $0.14.
Still, I still think that my range is perfectly, fine but we shall see.
12 key sellers are too young to determine weather 12 keys sells or not.
Too young? No matter how young a trade is, lower b/os can be used as proof when reducing a range.
I agree with you. But 11-12 vs 11-13 is not much of a difference, and this needs an update