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RE-Suggesting with a better range
SALE 1
searing plasma flipped trilby + 1 pure ~ 3.7 ( no overpay since it was offered on)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19469658
SALE 2
sold for ghosts baker ~ 3.9 (after overpay)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20068128
SALE 3
Sold for 55 keys worth of Pure keys, Lime paint and Giftwraps + 4 keys of worth in S. parts ~ 3.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19672613
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mini for baker - rounding to 4.3
sold for c9 hallmark ~ 4.5 buds ( no overpay since offered on)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18906882
overclocked el jeffe + 4 keys ~ 4.2 ( no overpay since offered on)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19502367
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19820711 - Sold for a Max and a B.M.O.C. ( 3 buds + 10 keys = 3.59 buds - Rounding to 3.6)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18893561 - Sold for 3 buds pure
I think the ideal range here is ~3.4-3.7 if you count the sale at 3 and 4 as outliers on either end with most sales centered around 3.4-3.7. I think this is closer to its value than: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5388ec134dd7b8ca2e8b46bf