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quick update
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19171144
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055182483?time=1400828400
40 keys = 2.4 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17817223
bought for 36 keys, at the time 1.9
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20087937
sold for c bubbles lid ~2.2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19923353
offered for smoking tree, buyout was ~2
easy stuff.
actually it should be going up, i bought mine for a stormy storm teutonic toque and a smoking aa and the seller added 6 keys pure, so adding on the overpay, that makes it 2.8
http://puu.sh/9cGYb/46cb1c44a7.png
Yours just might be a lucky outlier. With so many solds below range that one sale isn't really gonna affect much.
These trades are a few bit older than mine therefore we can't just rule mine out.
My trade was done on the 2nd June, you can ask the other participant if you would want to confirm the date.
It's a sell but not enough to help make the price higher, upvote on everything else!
This suggestion is lowering the price because of one sale, so i don't see why i can't have the price highered because of one sale. If you take out the 1 month old 1.9 sale, this would be the same as it is now.
mm, 4 sales at 1.9-2.4 compared to 1 at ~2.8. 1.9-2.8 would be a wide range for a low value hat. I feel you on this kind of point, like if a hat can sell for 2.8 then it can sell for 2.8, but that's why you take any unusual pricelist with a grain or several of salt, because outliers will always exist.
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/538d30b84cd7b8fd158b4950
in case you were not convinced that 2.8 is an outlier, one also sold for a terror cloud crasher which itself has sold a bunch of times for 2-2.4.
But then why is there a suggestion bringing this down? Seems this suggestion is going below the 2-2.4 because of one sale, that happened 1 month ago. If anything, me pricing this at 2-2.8 is more reasonable as my 2.8 sale happened within a day compared to a 1 month old 1.9 sale. It is idiotic to lower a hats value based on one price that is also very old when there is a price to higher the hats value that is very recent.
Why is there a suggestion bringing it down? First of all, this suggestion isn't itself changing the value of the hat, it's reflecting a minor change in the value of that hat that has occurred since the hat was previously priced. It's going below the previous price because there's a sale there, which forms part of a group of sales that form a clear range. The fact that your sale happened 1 day ago does not change the fact that it's statistically an outlier. 1 month ago is not old in unusual terms, and using a 1 month old sale isn't idiotic ;)
imagine there was no previous suggestion and no arrow pointing up or down, if that helps. With 5 sales recently between 1.9 and 2.4, including 2.8 purely on the grounds that it happened most recently would be illogical. If another sells for above my range, you might then have a "more reasonable" case to base a new suggestion on.
EDIT: I notice you're sounding like I could have made this suggestion with just that 1.9 sale and dropped the price; that's not how it works. Forget the old range, all of my proof is active in supporting and creating the new price. It's a coincidence that the high end remains the same.