Price Suggestion
Darkblaze War Pig
Submitted by ★ moon
88.35%
n/a
178.75 keys
7
~842.5 keys
darkblaze
Unusual War Pig Darkblaze
91 votes up
12 votes down
Advertisement
Related Suggestions
🎤 Vincentius 🎧
94.52%
650 keys
685–1000 keys
Hana
93.94%
500 keys
650 keys
Sick My Duck
90.7%
350–385 keys
500 keys

This suggestion was accepted by polar.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

Only 2 sales in the last 2 months for this 1 of 1 hat.


1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19181287

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17664713

sold for miami crones ~11 after overpay


2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19334649

12.3 in pure/promos based on that ticked offer; however using the limited backpack histories available (the seller seems to have cashed out all this pure? it never appears in his backpack)


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093707809?time=1401260400

^has maxs, 2 pure, 125 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093707809?time=1401346800 (and sort by time)

^ has 17 keys and 1 bud; but 10 keys have come since getting the warpig

so approximate spend on the warpig was a max, 1 pure bud and 118 keys

~11


Gonna contact the seller, the buyer offered 1 bud on my arcana tyrants and insisted he'd paid the same for this so I'm not convinced he's a reliable source of info. Til then, I'll see what you guys think.

Avatar ★ moon · posted

    miami crone was 19.8–21.5 buds when i bought this hat and i sold for 10 buds as quicksell to cash out. i had plenty of offers over 18 in unusuals. should be downvoted.

    Avatar ★ Paul_Waffle · modified

    You do realize back at this time the miami crones was ~20?

    Avatar ★ same2me · posted

      Sale happened around April 18?


      Here are Crones sales around that time:

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18514369 - b/o of 15 on March 11

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18979421 - KAW crones + 3 on April 4 ~13

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19078123 - lantern cannon + 8 keys April 22 ~11.5


      So no, the miami crones was not 20 at the time of the sale. It was ~11.5-13


      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16880171 - previous sale on the war pig


      11 flat may be a bit low. I would look at some offers and possibly make a range of 11-x (x being some of the high end offers)

      Avatar ★ polar · posted

        I've had some offers that range from anywhere from ~10 - ~20?


        I honestly was just posing a question of a range for the hat.

        Avatar ★ same2me · posted

          struggling with this. not sure how I should be using the 4 month old sale, the only higher offer i can find is a ps exe for the pig and the pro aussie rocket (~3), which is ~15 after overpay. should I suggest again at 11-15? high end proof seems a little bit flimsy.

          Avatar ★ moon · posted

        After thinking about this and scouring offers over the last 4 months, I think I'm going to accept this. Is 11 an outlier? I hardly think so. Highest documented pure offer in 4 months was 10 pure. An argument could actually be made that the range should be 10-11 here. Honestly, our overpay calculation is not enough on this site. Overpay on new effects is typically much higher than 10% as is evident here.


        Reporting the sale here as is. It can be modified with future sales.

        Avatar ★ polar · posted