Suggestion: Darkblaze Magnificent Mongolian at 20.1–21.78 keys

Price Suggestion

~130 keys

darkblaze

138 votes up

22 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Thu, 12 Jun 14 00:01:19 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098941044?time=1396681200 and http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098941044?time=1396854000 - Sold for 1 bud + 4 keys? Though it was originally listed as 19 keys. Bucket can probably confirm, as he was the one that sold it. This is the original trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19050686

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19091457 - Sold for an Orbiting Planets Human Cannonball + Collector's Professional Killstreak Bazaar Bargain. Outdated and... meh. Probably an outlier, as it would come to at least 2 buds with an updated price and Killstreaks accounted for.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057045429?time=1398582000 and http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057045429?time=1399186800[/url] - Sold for a Vintage Bill's Hat (price at the time of the sale was 1.4, so 1.4 * 0.9 = 1.26 rounded to 1.3 buds).

Sold it for 1 bud+19 keys http://imgur.com/a/i4nuF

Not 19 keys, haha.

Makes the second trade look like less of an outlier, possibly making the last trade an outlier?

Well, any sort of price on the second sale would require an updated Planets Cannonball price, as well as accurate Killstreak pricing, and I'm not entirely sure we can provide that (SCM proof is murky as-is). Also, it happens that your sale just passed the 2 month barrier yesterday (I only included it in the proof because I felt it would be better than having a flat price (as there have been other sales outside of the ones included in the proof, but I couldn't get info on them).

I'd recommend finding other sales (if possible), and contacting other mods to see what they think, because this is something I'm not at all sure about.

I'd happily buy this for 1.2 buds

Well, the pro bazaar bargain doesn't add much value. It can be estimated from market at ~5 keys.

Cannon:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19936014 - sold for a solid 2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19808559 - willing to do 1.5

One on the market at 1.5

Probably is ~1.5-2. That would put the sale at ~1.7 after overpay.

So that's a pure sale higher than this range and another sale higher than this range. This is low.

Okay, that's exactly what I needed. Thanks for the help, polar.

I'm thinking of resuggesting at 1.3-1.7 (Canonball suggestion notwithstanding), maybe 1.3-2 depending on if you consider Bucket's sale "too old" and the range is okay.