Suggestion: Something Burning This Way Comes Nanobalaclava at 55.28–77.05 keys

Price Suggestion

~470 keys

sbtwc

58 votes up

27 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was accepted Mon, 16 Jun 14 16:50:07 +0000 by A Delicious Cashew™.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

Please review all proof prior to voting. I put a lot of work into this, and received quite a bit of help to get the pricing as accurately as I could. Thanks to everyone who didn't complain about me drilling them for questions and sales proof. We do have two sales in the 4+ range. However, the range on the nano was too broad (2.9 - 4.6) and since the 4.6 was pure, I made 2.9 the outlier. If I've done anything wrong, let me know and I'll get it fixed A.S.A.P. This is being put through due to inaccurate low-end sales information in the last submission.

Sale #1) Outlier

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20102974

Sold for

Sunbeams Madame Dixie (~2.5 + 6 keys sweets = 2.85 rounded to 2.9)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2642621054,321,5

I contacted the seller, due to the lack of evidence in the first suggestion

The conversation can be found here: http://i.imgur.com/0YAkSvW.png

~2.9

Sale #2) Low End

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19946849

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19896808

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19982142

bought for orb fire bubble pipe (~1.9 after overpay) and g fetti brigade (~1.6, ~1.4 after overpay)

~3.3

Sale #3)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20313089

Haunted Ghosts Mining Light( 3 * .9 = ~2.7) + Spellbound Nanobalaclava (2.8 * .9 = ~2.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2553470098,48,5 - Mining Light (mini below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2659376119,521,5 - Spellbound Nano

Sold For

SBTWC Nanobalaclava + 1 bud pure

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2674457003,521,5 - SBTWC Nano

Screenshot of trade confirmation: http://i.imgur.com/kWVzgoF.png

~4.5

Sale #4) High End

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20117671

Sold for 78 keys pure (4.6 buds)

before:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058489308?time=1402124400

after:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058489308?time=1402297200

Screenshot of trade confirmation: http://i.imgur.com/RXSxTqW.png

~4.6 pure

Mini-Suggestion:

http://backpack.tf/item/2000917212 sold for:

Haunted Ghosts Big Country + Peace Mining Light + 9 keys (2.3 + .9 + .5 = ~3.6)

Peace Mining - http://backpack.tf/item/157096208

HG Mining Light - http://backpack.tf/item/2000917212

Screenshot of trade confirmation: http://i.imgur.com/o2HgARV.png

The only recent sale of an HG mining light I can find sold for 3.7. However, buyouts on Outpost are 3, so a value of 3.7 would be inaccurate. It's been moved down to 3 buds.

Is gud and I can upvote this! :)

Thanks, it took me all day to put all this together. The ranges in the submission put in yesterday had 3 sales, 2 of which weren't right.

I mean I would appreciate less emphasis on my mistakes and more on the extent to which I advised you on this suggestion you've made, but other than that it looks good :L Personally I'm gonna stay neutral because 4.6 buds is really high, and as much of an outlier as 2.9 is (0.4 away from the next nearest sale.) Additionally there are no offers on any of these trades which really exceed 3.5. On reflection, I think you're more likely to pass 3.3-4.2 as the range is under a bud wide and is a safer middle ground which accounts for both groups of sales.

Oh, and the sale involving a ghosts mining light should be ~4.2, not ~4.5.

The reason for the clarification of the wrong information, was to justify my updating the price in less than 24 hours. I appreciate your help. I needed it a great deal, and I couldn't have done it without your assistance.

As far as the range, I initially had gone with the 2.9-3.3 range and was suggested by the community to go with 3.3-4.6 with a 2.9 outlier since the pure sale of 4.6. I also analyzed the other high-tier nano's and checked the ranges on them and many of them have ranges of 1 - 1.3 buds (i.e. the halloween effects)

You and I had discussed the pricing on this a bit. This puts the nano at a 3.9 middle range. It's still falling in under 4 buds, which seems fair considering the two most recent sales of this hat were 4.6 and 4.2.

I apologize I had to focus on the "Wrong" submission. However, I needed to stress the fact that this wasn't an effort to "price manipulate" and simply a correction.

Thank you for the help coolrocks.

-brawnkoh

No problem pal :L

I guess my only point is that pure sales can still be outliers, and 4.6 is as far from 4.2 as 2.9 is from 3.3, and I've seen mods question calling one an outlier at one end but not an equally different sale an outlier at the other end. Like I say, I'm staying neutral for that reason, the proof itself is all perfectly good.