Been looking around, and I think this thing could use a drop.

Classifieds at time of listing, many sellers at 4.7

http://i.imgur.com/l0qdEb5.png

Sellers below 5:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20356605 - 4 keys, 2 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20105130 - 4 keys, 4 ref, seems to have sold (trade is still up for some reason)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20358696 - 10% off backpack.tf (in this case -.5 keys,) so 4.5 keys, unbumped for a day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20282803 - 4.85 (4 keys and 7 ref)

Unsolds at 5 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14973136 - 8 months, however, this trade has not updated keys past 7.55 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16209307 - 6 months

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17284103 - 4 months, still has stock

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19239122 - 2 months

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19750416 - 1 month

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19991585 - 3 weeks, unbumped for a day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20009818 - 3 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20134998 - 2 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20116885 - 2 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20154642 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20139611 - 1 week, renamed

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20151723 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20250569 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20191147 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20257126 - 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20269764 - 6 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20284732 - 5 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20323065 - 3 days

NOTE: All unsolds below 3 days not included

Conclusion: Mountains of unsolds at 5, many of them upwards of a week. Many are in sets, are being sold only by cash, and other things. There are only a few sellers below price right now, but none of them seem to go fast. This drop is fairly modest, and seems appropriate.

Any feed back is appreciated. If you agree, leave a comment and upvote! If you disagree, post some counter proof and downvote. This is my first suggestion in over a year, might be a bit rough.