Suggestion: Villain's Veil at 0.95–1 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

Submitted Tue, 17 Jun 14 11:36:32 +0000 by ★ emilights

21

~1.89 ref

187 votes up

128 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Wed, 18 Jun 14 12:34:17 +0000 by A Distinctive Lack of Vincent.

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Comments

Last Accepted 8 months ago. Many villains switched side since.

Credits to THRICE & <<DarkAlpha>> for some sources

7 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20301797 Sold quick

7.33 refs

http://i61.tinypic.com/ohmecn.png Sold for 7.33 <Veil + sharp (2.33 refs) = 1 key 1 ref (graybanns + 1 ref)>

7.66 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20038784 Sold quick

7.88 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19223046 Sold at least 1. BOT. Autobump. No stock

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19661697 Sold at least 1. BOT. Stock 2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20380550 Sold at least 1. BOT. Autobump. No stock

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19777432 Sold at least 1. BOT. Autobump. Stock 1

8 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20391080 young. Autobump

1 Key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20393988 young. Painted orange

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20372865 young. Autobump. Painted rustic

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20382595 Sold. Painted black

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20375151 Sold.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20375226 Sold. Painted zep for Kringle

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20366876 2 days. Painted orange. Offered kringle

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20365647 2 days. Autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20370831 2 days. Autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20370157 2 days. Autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20351424 2 days. Autobump. Cancelled

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20337816 3 days. Autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20311128 4 days Sold. Autobump.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20297270 5 days. Autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20254197 8 days. Autobump. Painted grey and zep

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20199039 11 days. Autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20146316 14 days.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19997484 24 days. Autobump

Classifieds http://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Villain%27s%20Veil&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1

6 x 8 refs (1 painted mint)

2 x 8.22 refs

3 x 8.33 refs (1 painted australium)

1 x 8.44 refs

... x 1 key ( unpainted, painted ts, australium, etc.)

Suggesting range 8 refs - 1 key > Rounding 0.95 - 1 key

These 7.88 ref Hat BOT sellers is actually owned by one person. They are not different, just different account but owned by the same one person.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19223046

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19661697

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20380550

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19777432

Counting all those links as 1 since you basically posted 1 person 4 times.

Now that we have it, as you can see... 7.88 ref sells fast.

Now for your low-end its very young...It has been up for only 9+ hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20391080

With all that said...You have no proof basically. Poor suggestion. Might want to wait and find more to appear at the price you are suggesting. Good luck.

What justify 7.88 sells fast ?

Ah, you can cross that out. My mistake. :P

Aren't the sellers at 7.66 and 7.00 a little irrelevant? They both were quicksells. There's also a 7.66 in classifieds at the time of writing of this.

Please correct me if I'm wrong, but 1 link for your low end tier is abit too weak. I'll base my vote when you get more links at 8 refs

Classifieds http://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Villain%27s%20Veil&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1

6 x 8 refs (1 painted mint)

Seems like there's only 5

classifieds only good as support?

pretty much there aint no point to change price as it still sells for 1 key and there is no real change in price. 0,025 key is just nothing

See:

http://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Pink%20as%20Hell/Tradable/Craftable

http://backpack.tf/stats/Strange/Sandvich%20Safe/Tradable/Craftable

http://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Taunt%3A%20The%20High%20Five%21/Tradable/Craftable

http://backpack.tf/stats/Genuine/Cockfighter/Tradable/Craftable

So 0.95 is ~8ref and you got 1 seller at 8ref, meh :/

Right, only 1 from the bible (outpost). Please consider:

a. 7.88 refs sellers > 2 sellers ... bot

b. 8 refs sellers: 1 out post and 5 classifieds (1 painted mint)

c. Number of days unsold even on autobump for 1 key

d. Free paints from 1 key sellers.

Not very good, only good enough to get a downvote from me.

Thanks for sounding

Not enough proof for your low-end for me to upvote.

I know this is a long shot...

Please consider the unsolds at 1 key are autobumps, and this item can be acquired easily at 8 refs on classified.

Updates on classifieds http://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Villain%27s%20Veil&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1

6 x 8 refs (1 painted mint) --> 5 x 8 refs (1 painted mint) --> 5 x 8 refs (all unpainted)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Adding proof

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20167316 13 days for merc scarf

8 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20384527 young

8.22 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20358895 2 days

8.33 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20146316 14 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19742595 36 days

8.44 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20304433 4 days

1 key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20398193 young. Painted Zep

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20275698 7 days. Autobump. Painted Olive

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20233665 9 days. Autobump. Painted Violet

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20123355 17 days. Autobump. Painted purple

Tough call with this new proof ;/

What must be considered here is the amount of unsolds - if something's impossible to sell at 1 key, then a drop is pretty obvious. However, the proof is pretty weak for the low end... It's a tough one, this.

I don't think there is much difference between 1 key and 0,95 key (0,5 of a key is like 0,44 ref).

Latest updates for all links:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20167316 Unsold 13 days for merc scarf

7 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20301797 Sold quick

7.33 refs

http://i61.tinypic.com/ohmecn.png Sold for 7.33 <Veil + sharp (2.33 refs) = 1 key 1 ref (graybanns + 1 ref)>

7.66 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20038784 Sold quick

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20055743 Unsold 17 dayspoor bump

7.88 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/611189 Sold at least 1. BOT0. Autobump. Stock 1

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19223046 Sold at least 1. BOT2. Autobump. No stock

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19661697 Sold at least 3. BOT3. No stock

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20380550 Sold at least 1. BOT6. Autobump. No stock

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19777432 Sold at least 1. BOT5. Autobump. Stock 1

8 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20391080 young. Autobump Recpriced to 7.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20384527 young

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20404493 young

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20356761 Unsold 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19736072 Unsold 7 days poor bumped

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20383873 unbumped

8.22 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20358895 Unsold 3 days

8.33 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20399712 young

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20378733 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20374266 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20306888 Unsold 6 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20258883 Unsold 9 days poor bumped

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20146316 Have 3. Cancelled after 15 days.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19742595 Unsold 36 days

8.44 refs

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20402471 young

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20393255 young

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20385252 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20304433 Unsold 6 days

1 Key

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20398193 young. Painted Zep

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20393988 young. Painted orange

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20382595 Sold. Painted black

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20375151 Sold.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20375226 Sold. Painted zep for Kringle

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20372865 Autobump. Painted rustic Cancelled after 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20351424 Autobump. Cancelled after 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20366876 Unsold 3 days Painted orange. Offered kringle

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20365647 Unsold 3 days Autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20370831 Unsold 3 days Autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20370157 Unsold 3 days Autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20337816 Unsold 4 days Autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20311128 Sold 4 days Autobump.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20297270 Unsold 6 days Autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20275698 Unsold 7 days Autobump. Painted Olive. Repriced to 8.66 refs and cancelled after 8 days.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20254197 Unsold 9 days Autobump. Painted grey and zep

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20233665 Unsold 9 days Autobump. Painted Violet. Repriced to 7 refs and cancelled after 9 days.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20199039 Unsold 12 days Autobump

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20146316 Have 3. Cancelled after 15 days.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20123355 Unsold 18 days Autobump. Painted purple

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19997484 Unsold 24 days Autobump

Classifieds http://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Villain%27s%20Veil&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1

7.66 refs x0 ==> x1

7.88 refs x0 ==> x1

8 refs x6 (1 mint) ==> x5 (1 mint) ==> x5 ==> x4

8.22 refs x2 ==> x1

8.33 refs x3(1 australium) ==> x4 (all unpainted)

8.44 refs x1

... x 1 key ( unpainted, painted ts, australium, etc.)