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~66 keys
burning
Unusual Kiss King Burning Flames
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Passionate Lovin gets intense ya know

dem

Sales:

Eerie Crones+Burning Grimm+Scorching Attendant+Terror Bonk Boy+Uncraft Juju ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20243010 ) (8+10.6+9+17+0.5=45.1*0.9=40.6=~40.5)


Mini on Grimm:

Added 2.5 for a C9 BoA ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20354069 ) (16.5*0.9=14.9-2=12.9) (outlier)

9 pure ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20249814 ) (9)


Mini on Attendant:

PE Attendant+Beams Cowl ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20350211 ) (5.6+5.6=11.2)


Dirty HOUWAR ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20249835 ) (10)


Mini on Crones:

Added 1 for Secret Samur ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20022008 ) (20.6-1=19.6*0.9=17.6))

Burning Swagmans+6 ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048335259?time=1400828400 --> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048335259?time=1401087600 ) (11.3*0.9=10.2+6=16.2)

Average is ~17


Duped Beams TC ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20139686 ) (45.5*0.9=41)


Mini on TC:

Burning Stash+Scorching Buto ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20240850 ) (34.5+16.4=51*0.9=46)


Clean Scorching TC ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20141079 ) (old price)


Burning FR+Beams Homme+19 ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20248810 ) (17+11.5=28.5*0.9=26+19=45)


Average: 45.5

    why a range?

      to make polar upset

      may as well give it one, shows it has more than one sale

        this is close enough just to round it up to 41.

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20252160 offer of a secret TC which is like 48 after overpay.

      staying neutral

        just saw, gonna see what the admins say about it tho

          and I dont like the mini on the TC as well. I sold my duped one for like 80 in unusuals

            almost everyone had a buyout of 50-60, and I didnt see any sales higher than my range, just a collecting offer of 48 pure that hasnt gone through, even clean ones cant get 70, so your sale is prolly an outlier

          I'd be very cautious of that offer. Skretak offers Halloween 2012 TCs to almost everyone. He's offered me a few of them and every time says, "I offer this." Then when he talks to you privately he always begins, "You'd just need to add about 20 to make up for the difference." ... Every time, even when you reject his offer...


          Point of that story: I wouldn't count it until if he actually pays that. Additionally, he trying to quick-sell for 55 at the moment. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20263148 That 48 estimate sounds like you're valuing that TC at his 55. That value would need to be proven.

            Yeah, plus that's complete bs counter evidence, it's just an offer. Sales are more important, just like my ge rack suggestion it does not matter what that offer is, look at the sales.

          I can tell you right now, as the person who unboxed this hat it should be at least 55, from me selling it around 54 in mixed and the other owner selling it for a Sb. TC (which happens to be duped) is around 55. The current owner is selling it for 100 buds and will probably never be sold for that price I think 55 is a fair price for this all-class god tier effect hat!

          I'd round it to 41.


          Also, dirty houwar shouldn't be valued 10. (if by dirty u mean duped)


          There's a few more sales from the Duped beams TC you could provide.

            by dirty I meant untradable, idk why I said dirty since they're all untradable >.<

            I spent like 15 mins tracking down usable sales for the beams tc, they're tough because it's been duped so badly you cant distinguish who anyone sold it to

            EDIT: turns out HOUWAR is duped, should I bother resuggesting at 40-41 or keep this up incase the secret tc goes through+I have to resuggest anyways?

              duped houwar is 9, also try use bp.tf history 2 see the recent sales of the tc.

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20557626

            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20252160


            Your proof seems true, but a golden pan was offered on both of these...

              Yeah and one declined. With offers up to 70 buds pricing this at 40 is stupid. :P