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Counter Suggestion, borrowing some proof from the other suggestion.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19527774
Was bought by blue for 6 buds and 9 keys = 6.5
Confirmed by blue
http://imgur.com/joG2JoC
http://puu.sh/9By11/97aebcfb72.png
I bought one today for 117 keys = 7.3
Credit to alaska:
Sold for hearts swag+ghost drills.
http://puu.sh/9dZpW/ab4da3c26d.png
4.6(see mini below) + 2.9(see mini below) 2.9+4.6=7.5
Mini for drills
Trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20027656
Sold for logo tossle (~2.7) = 2.4(overpay calculated) + 1 bud mixed = 3.4
Checked with seller: http://imgur.com/evmkBGm
Trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20144543 Sold for 3 buds pure
http://i.imgur.com/75RvTsY.png
http://i.imgur.com/un7gf6a.png
3.4+3=6.4\2 = 3.2 x .9 = ~2.9
Mini for Swag
Trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18834135
Sold for 5 pure
Proof: http://tinypic.com/view.php?pic=2i8az9v&s=8#.U54mUS_HLC1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17859719 sold for 5.2-5.3 in all keys confirmed by seller
http://imgur.com/3zZJTj2
Backpack confirms contents
http://imgur.com/jpffakJ
http://www.tf2outpost.com/backpack/139336
5.2+5=10.2\2=5.1 x .9 = ~4.6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20362007
Sold for 4pure + clean c9 tyrants(5.2)=~4.7 overpay + Smoking lucky shot (1.5) = ~1.3 overpay
4+4.7+1.3 = 10
http://www.tf2outpost.com/backpack/266965 <---Backpack confirms items
Confirmed by Blue http://imgur.com/06U36Bs
Four sales: 6.5, 7.3, 7.5, 10
Looking at the offers and sales on the Rack it looks like 10 is an outlier and 6.5-7.5 makes a better range, especially considering 6.5 and 7.3 were both in pure.
Feel free to comment and share your opinions.
upvote from meh