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Counter suggestion
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20218278 sold for 77 keys 4,6 buds
Buyer's backpack when he didn't have it yet: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029437230?time=1398021532
Buyer's backpack when he bought it: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029437230?time=1402157239
82 keys = 5,125 buds (buds being 16 keys each). (credits to jarggo for this proof)
War Pig history: http://backpack.tf/item/2663995902
λngelღмander --> Surfin Soldier
Here's Surfin Soldier's bp without War Pig in it: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091734493?time=1402417639
Here's Surfin Soldier's bp with War Pig in it: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091734493?time=14033318283
Missing 4 buds and 8 keys.
Here's λngelღмander's bp with War Pig in it: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093792277?time=1403305290 (wont show it though, maybe in market or sth?) note, he has 5 buds pure.
Here's λngelღмander's bp without War Pig in it (following history of one of Surfin Soldier's buds): http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093792277
He has 11 buds with 4 of them being from Surfin Soldier. Knowing this item a bit myself, I think he actually sold it for 4,5 buds pure (which I would have done back in the day in a blink of an eye, only if I was offered that, lol) but of course there may have been some other items in the trade as well.
Your 4.6-5.1 is much closer to truth than my 5.7-6.3, I was being a bit generous there. I also missed the comment on TF2OP, I estimated he sold it for 82 keys looking at BP.tf backpack histories, but he clearly said he sold it for 77. Good suggestion on your behalf, closing my own as we speak...
the 4.5 buds sale is somewhat close to 4.6 so im leaving it as this
Yes, plus it is also an estimate looking at bp.tf backpack history, so there may have been some items in the trade I didin't notice. I'm not sure if you noticed though, but your lower limit proof on TF2OP trade is from the same guy as the bp.tf proof on the higher limit, which I estimated at 82 keys from looking at backpacks. So if your upper limit of 5.1 is based on that, it's not valid because it's also the same trade as your lower limit is based on. But still, this is very much the most accurate pricing on this specific item out there at the moment.