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Last suggestion was 5 months ago and they practically never show up.
Last known sale (that wasn't mine) of this was near 4 months ago ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049515787 ) 02-20-14 to 02-21-14
First suggestion, be gentle ;) In reality, I'd really like some tips of what/if I could fix in new suggestions.
Most recent sale was this:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20395023
http://puu.sh/9Iy0a/9d4ccc9a6e.png
First up is on the aces phantom: It's currently valued at 3.1 via this site, but had offers, which were agreed to of, I'm giving it an average of 3.6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20582325 (1:1 GE attendant, currently priced at 6 but outdated, somewhat close price range)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20219584 (Steaming headsplitter, valued at 3.2)
Recent sale of an Aces Phantom comes from myself, trading an Aces Cosa, which was valued at ~5 at the time: http://puu.sh/9IyfH/60c021a4e8.jpg
The Aces Cosa was bought back in october making it not a perfectly reliable sale, but it was bought for ~7 @ time of sale ( http://puu.sh/9IyDD/058d6bc5d2.jpg scorching noir, nuts l'inspecteur, s. sapper, 6.66 in metal)
Next is the billy, priced here @ 2.1, I'm giving it a price of 2.3 average
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20582412 offer of 2 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20412230 offer of ~2.7 mixed
My personal sale was from a stormy phantom @ about 2.3 http://puu.sh/9Izgn/d8ef61195d.jpg
In my trade for the Ghosts Cosa, 2 buds and 17 keys were added. The price here makes it UNDER aces as well as a lot of robo and 'summer effects'. An owner of this hat said they would take only a poisoned shadows one for theirs, valued @ 8 http://puu.sh/9IzOt/c6aeb74348.png
The owner that this was bought from would take nothing less of 8.
Anything else proving/disproving this would be appreciated, as well as tips for further suggestions.
you should read this for more help http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet/
First of all, you have to use the backpack.tf price, and it is usable without making a mini suggestion if the hat's price is less than 3 months old. Both hats prices are usable here
You have to factor unusual overpay. That's the median * .9. For the aces phantom it would be 3.1 times .9 or ~2.8.The billycock would be 1.9 after overpay. Your own sale of the stormy phantom proves the billycock's price, as 2.3 * .9 is 2.1
And lastly, you can't make a range with only one sale, it would have to be a flat price.
2.8 + 1.9 + 2 + ~1 = 7.7.
7.7 flat would be better
some links in there are broken, not sure where 7.8,8 comes from with your numbers all over the place.
Also saying the owner would take a poisoned shadows one for theres isnt proof because he was never offered one, thats like saying ill take a burning KE for my smoking cancer hat. i wont ever get that offer.
links fixed
i used the poisoned shadows part as a downside, as showing it can't go above 8 because that's what the price for that is
the 7.8 comes from this and the fact that sunbeams is also (not as accurately but still) priced at 8, and ghosts is lower than that in general
if 7.8 comes from this then how? i got no idea what numbers u used since you used so many different numbers, also u cant use 8 as a highend since its based off his b/o. samething as i said before i can say my b/o is a burning KE, i wont get it. ever. so it cant be part of the suggestion.
I used the 7.8 as a general range. Adding up the amount that was given for this recent trade gives you 7.9, which was between the 7.8 suggested and the 8 given as proof to keep this in the range because of the small differences in what the items given were worth due to offers and said values.
but how did u get 7.8,7.9,8 whatever it was, out of all the ways and numbers u posted i cannot come up with that outcome, you probably didnt account for overpay.
I don't see why you're going crazy about why it's 7.8-8 instead of some definite price between that. It's a few keys, give or take, that wouldn't matter at around this price or any price of a hat like this with this effect. There was no definite price given in the main trade or any accurate one given on any other site so any 'overpay', which I don't think there is, wouldn't be able to be found in any way, because the past owner asked for ~8 and ~7.9 was given.