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Counter manipulation. (Sorry for stealing that phrase, Gent.) Original suggester hasn't resuggested so I'm taking this into my own hands.
http://imgur.com/t308rLB - Sold + 4 keys + R.P.S taunt (~3 keys, rounded) for Miami Baker Boy (~2.1 buds - .5 buds = ~1.6 buds)
Credit to SLOTH for this - this was his trade, he validates what effects all unusuals are in his suggestion - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53adf3204cd7b886588b47dd#comment-53adf8d44cd7b8aa538b47ea
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20240442 - Gym Rat offered (and sold) for GE Handle + sweets = ~2.1 buds (handle's outdated, mini below)
Mini for handle:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19807885 - Handle sold for DBD Big Elfin Deal = ~2.1 buds
There's really no other valid sales for this. Bleh.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20698143 - B/O of 34 keys = ~2.1 buds
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19322364 - Sold for Smoking Toque + 1 bud (17 keys at the time) = 31 keys or ~1.8 buds
Thanks to Chester Mcbadbat for the sale and Pan for making me realise it's a toque, not the muffs. Derp.
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20312790 - Sold for Steaming Buckaroos (13 keys, outdated) + Pro KS Reserve Shooter (8 keys?) + Pro KS Liberty (5 keys?) + Spec Escape Plan (2 keys?) = 28 keys or ~1.7 buds
This is merely support proof - KS weapons are kinda dorky when it comes to using them as proof, best not to solidify a range with them..
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I'm personally really unsure about this. GE Handle hasn't got much going for it. Any extra proof would be greatly appreciated.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19322364 Sold for a smoking tough guy's and a bud
I dunno, it's two months old... That's pretty borderline. Besides, that'd be close to 5 buds, definitely an outlier.
EDIT: I thought when I saw tough guy's that it was the muffs. I'm special.
The sale happened a month ago but the sale would be somewhere around 1.7-2 buds (just an estimate) which fits right into the range.
Offer was put in on Apr 28th, don't see how that's only a month ago.
I thought it was the muffs being mentioned haha. Special moment on my part. Anyway, yeah, I'll throw that in, why not. Thanks.