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Counter-manipulation (credits anyway to the manipulator for the screenshots)
1st sale : [url]http://i.imgur.com/dVXsh2m.png[/url] [url]http://i.imgur.com/nwNYT2n.png[/url]
Seem to be offered on the AA, no overpay needed.
The AA is outdated. Let's make a mini :
Only sales of non-duped found on outpost [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18969908[/url] [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19927714[/url] [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20420092[/url]
1st was sold for a Skull Dogger but outdated, 2nd sold for DBD Dragonborn + 14 keys of sweets (3.1 + 0.8)*0.9 = 3.5, 3rd sold for AF Metal Drill 6.8*0.9 = 6.1 buds
So huge range for the AA, making an average of 4.8 buds
So 1st sale is 4.8 - 3.5 = 1.3 buds outlier
2nd sale : [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20824051[/url]
"Quickselling" for 3 buds, got a Miami Merrylweather instead from the friend of the price manipulator.
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2733238168,182,5[/url]
3.2*0.9 = 2.9 buds
3rd sale : [url]http://i.imgur.com/NRhkj08.png[/url] Aces High Ubersternmann + 5 keys + shitload of sweets
Let's calculate the sweets first
In ref, 1 + 3.33 + 4 + 2.66 + 1.33 + 0.44 + 1.44 + 10(cheapest fabricator on market) + 1.33 + 3 + 3 + 2 + 6 + 0.33 + 1.33 + 2.66 + 2.66 + 1 + 1.33 + 1 + 0.33 + 1 = 51.22 ref = 6 keys of sweets
So that's (3.4 + 0.3 of sweets)*0.9 + 0.3 of keys pure = 3.6 buds
4th sale : [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20820601[/url] Bubbling Muffs
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2730546720,984,5[/url]
3.4*0.9 = 3.1 buds
Conclusion : The sale with the AA seems to be an outlier, so let's put the sale #2 on low-end and sale #3 on high-end.
Thanks for reading.