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Lets do this...
Sold for 10 Buds + 10 Keys (0.6) + Black Bills (0.4) + PE Fuka (3.5) + G.Fetti LuckyShot (2.3) + 99$ (3) ~ 19.8 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19994339
Sold for a hearts modest (11) + scorching frenchman (4.5) + ghosts elfin (3.9, old price) ~ around 19-19.5 buds depending on the elfin:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20679927
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20905295
Other supporting sale:
Sold for a clean lantern buto (8) + clean lantern stash (10.1-14.8) ~ makes the pyromancer around 19-20 buds, close enough:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20062877
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19749005 - mancer was offered
Mini for stash:
Can't really tell, the sales for the stash were all over the place: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53b50a574cd7b8175a8b48b4
apparently a duped version of this hat declined a duped peace stash offer. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20008030
duped peace stash was sold for miami tc: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20005037 11.5 after overpay
Sold for Stormy Storm Pullover: 14.8 after overpay, rounding to 15
http://imgur.com/Bs1gFNI
http://imgur.com/Fv1r1sv
http://imgur.com/dlFhhnA
Sold with 0.4 buds for 13th Charmer: 10.1 buds No overpay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20888840
Mini for charmers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19585946 - took 28 days to sell at 9 buds
Sold for hellfire waxy (4.7) + misty skull bunsen (4.9) + hearts milkman (3.5) ~ 13.1 buds:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093792277?time=1400742000 (using old prices)
Since the only one available on the market now has a B/O of 12, I'm using 9-12 buds.
10.5-0.4 = 10.1 buds
I chose to go with 19-20 buds due to a number of uncertainties regarding some of the sales and value of hats.
Note: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20898433 - this one is duped, quickselling for 17 buds.
Mini on Elfin?
Will do it in awhile, had to off my comp for an hour or so.
I also paid a clean Scorching Mancers + 4 pure for a clean Burning Mancers recently, making that sale ~18.5 with overpay (He offered the Burning Mancers to me). 19-20 looks good!
Woohoo, and I bought one just yesterday!
But mine is duped >:[
Last suggestion was really just to update the outdated price, and it was obv rising.
Should include the quicksales tho ;P
1 week old quicksell:
Still unsold / continued here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21092245
I already stated above, that one is duped: http://backpack.tf/item/218037846
Not to mention, have you ever tried to sell a 15+ bud hat for pure? There aren't many ppl that can afford it and the ones that can are usually they are cheap as hell.
Just putting additional outlier sales in:
sold with SBTWC merryweather (6.2) for C.moon cannonball (18.9) + DBD phantom (7.7) + sulphorous flamenco (7.7) + 1 bud 6 keys (1.4) ~ 28.6 buds:
http://i.imgur.com/MvuPLVl.jpg
The Burning Bat merryweather price was accepted in the ghost mancer pricing to be valued at 6.15 buds http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53a952334dd7b82b488b4771
Also noting that the previous closed suggestion had this sale:
Trade #1-
First here is a trade where GE mancer + scorching mancer + burning Guadalajara sold for a duped Secret TC(55.4*0.9) = 50 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19752826
Next here is the new price that is most likely going to be the new price for the GE mancer that is being voted in http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53a87f994dd7b847448b4669
So if we take (GE mancer (15 buds) + burning Guadalajara (6.5)) - Secret TC (50 buds) = 28.5 * 0.9 = 25.65
____________________________________________________________________________________________
Apparently, I did my own research and the TC was then sold for:
lantern bonk boy (6.8) + overcloaked festivizer (1.6 old price) + KaW viewfinder (16.7) + eerie KE (16.2) + steaming modest (2.2, old price) + smoking phantom (1.8 old) + stormy storm tossle (2.3) + ghosts salty dog (3.3 old) + bubbles veil (3.6) + 3 keys (0.2) ~ 54.7 buds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20331715
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113090293?time=1402642800 - before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113090293?time=1402729200 - after
Which is around the same as the clean one.
I think 17-20 would work. But given this trade - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20980235 - I think the suggested range is high