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Second suggestion. Let's do it!
SECTION 1: OPENING ARGUMENTS
Here's the deal, the price suggestion right now (which is 5 refined) is inaccurate for two reasons. First, many of them that are being advertised at 5 refined have not been bought after a considerable amount of time. The trend here seems to be people selling in the 4.33-4.66 area (as well as some outliers that I will present) so it would only make sense that the price be changed to match.
SECTION 2: SHOW ME THE EVIDENCE! (ON OUTPOST)
Sellers at 5 refined that have gone unsold: (at time of writing)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21078018[/url] Unsold 13 hours, worth following up on
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21063745[/url] Unsold 1 day
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21055584[/url] Unsold 1 day
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21072045[/url] Unsold 1 day
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20984517[/url] Unsold 3 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21049583[/url] Unsold 1 day
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21024121[/url] Unsold 2 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21042227[/url] Unsold 1 day
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20939234[/url] Unsold 5 days, although someone made an offer it is still in his BP
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21002625[/url] Unsold 3 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20924744[/url] Unsold 6 days
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21056927[/url] Unsold 1 day
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20961865[/url] Unsold 4 days
With a lot of these items being unsold at 5 refined, many are choosing to sell for a price that is lower than the recommendation on backpack.tf
Sellers at 4.33 refined
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21022786[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21071692[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21066713[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21070041[/url]
Sellers at 4.66 refined
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21075784[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21020309[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21088082[/url]
Here are some miscellaneous sellers that are going even lower, suggesting a trend that this item will fall further in the future:
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21083623[/url] 1.33
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21023216[/url] 3.88
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21066351[/url] 3
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20981486[/url] 4
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20841214[/url] 4.88
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21052359[/url] 4.88
SECTION 3: THE CLASSIFIEDS, WHAT ABOUT THEM?
The classifieds on this website show that the price of this item is going down, nobody has listed this item in the classifieds for a price of 5 refined
1 seller at 3.55
2 sellers at 3.66
7 sellers at 4 refined
SECTION 4: THE BUYERS
The likely reason that people are choosing to sell down is due to the low demand for this item. There is only 1 page of buyers on outpost and many are buying for low prices (as expected).
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/214471241[/url]
SECTION 5: CLOSING ARGUMENTS
In conclusion, 5 ref isn't an accurate price recommendation for this item. Too many that are being listed at 5 refined are not getting sold. A change in the price to 4.33-4.66 will likely make more of these sell. Thanks for reading!
I'd prefer 4 - 4.33, upvote for now