Proof below. Overpay calculated. Original prices used

Sales

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197973029544?time=1404111600 ----> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197973029544?time=1404198000

PE Tyrannus + Peace Modest = 6.8 buds

CREDIT TO BADDYGAMES FROM HERE ON:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/230064 - this guy sold his for nuts gibus (after two mini suggestions) ~ 5.5

Mini for Gibus:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/407248 - bought for chiroptera venenata lucky shot (OMG MINI BELOW...) ~ 5.5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18916045 - sold for smoking pyromancer (outlier, and that is a nice themed hat)

Only recent sales...

Mini for Lucky Shot:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20364429 - sold for Max and Stormy Belt (2.8 * 0.9 = 2.5 + 3 = 5.5) ~ 5.5