Fourth price suggestion, let's do this!

SECTION 1: OPENING ARGUMENTS

Here's the deal, 1 key as a price recommendation for this item is too high, and many are choosing to sell at a price of 8 ref as opposed to 1 key. The sellers at 1 key are not having their item sold. I'm not going to take into account lower sellers since they are quick sellers (people selling in the 7-7.66 area. A price change to 8 ref makes the most sense.

SECTION 2: SHOW ME THE EVIDENCE:

Let's start off by looking at the amount of Flapjacks at 1 key that have not been selling

Unsolds at 1 key (at time of writing)

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21069895[/url] Unsold 1 day

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21066456[/url] Unsold 1 day. User closed trade although item still remains in BP

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21076997[/url] Unsold 1 day

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21077532[/url] Unsold 1 day

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21072372[/url] Unsold 1 day

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21079462[/url] Unsold 1 day. User closed trade though item still remains in BP

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21078320[/url] Unsold 1 day. User closed trade though item still remains in BP

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21091452[/url] Unsold 1 day. User had previous trade with this item at same price, though closed trade.

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20942985[/url] Unsold 6 days

I want to put in some "young" trades so that we can monitor them during the voting period. Think of it as evidence that will become valid as time goes on.

Young Unsolds at 1 key (at time of writing)

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21113261[/url] Unsold 3 hours

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21111326[/url] Unsold 5 hours

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21110396[/url] Unsold 6 hours

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21109661[/url] Gifted. Unsold 7 hours

[url]http://bazaar.tf/trade/898597[/url] Unsold 8 hours

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21107972[/url] Unsold 10 hours

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21106992[/url] Unsold 11 hours

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21106698[/url] Unsold 11 hours

Again, this isn't evidence that applies now, but will become valid if these things follow my theory which is that they will go unsold.

Now, let's take a look at people who are trading for 8 refined

Sellers at 8 refined

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21113593[/url]

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21071625[/url]

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21108591[/url] Sold

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21064557[/url] Sold

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21064499[/url] Sold

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21115508[/url] Selling for 8.11

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21098359[/url]

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21087033[/url] Selling for 8 ref, took 9 ref in overpay

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21085743[/url] Sold. User forgot to close trade

SECTION 3: CLASSIFIEDS.

Besides some quicksellers, a lot of people are choosing to sell for 8 refined, and the ones being sold at 1 key have gone unsold. There are currently:

3 sellers at 7 refined

1 seller at 7.33

4 sellers at 8 refined

Of the 19 sellers at 1 key that have been bumped in the last day, all of them have gone unsold

SECTION 4: BRINGING IT ALL TOGETHER

In a nutshell, people who are selling for 1 key are not getting their item sold. 8 refined seems to be where a lot of people are selling at, and ones being sold for 8 ref are being bought by people. 8 refined is a good price for now because it doesn't take into account the quicksellers. Thanks for reading!