Suggestion: Kill-a-Watt Law at 190–247 keys

Price Suggestion

~36.5 keys

kill-a-watt

87 votes up

14 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was accepted Wed, 23 Jul 14 19:58:33 +0000 by polar.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

This is it, everybody. This took me a good two hours. I'm surprised this hasn't been suggested on yet, so many sales! Let's go, ja?

Sale #1:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20249513 - Sold for a Demoman set (Roboactive Glengarry Bonnet + Aus. Pro KS Grenade Launcher +

Aus. Pro KS Stickybomb Launcher + Aus. Pro KS Eyelander + S. Bird-Man of Aberdeen + Liquor Locker

As of Jun 14th, buds = 16.75 keys

Roboactive Bonnet:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20365098 - Sold with S. Birdman of Aberdeen + #84 Liquor Locker for Orbiting Planets Frickin' Sweet Ninja Hood

4.15 - 0.1 = ~4 buds

The value of the locker is most likely too small to factor in (probably would round to 4 buds anyway)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025497223?time=1400655600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025497223?time=1400742000

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19246012 - Sold for P. Fetti Larrikin + 2 buds pure + S. Juggernaut Jacket (0.9 + 2 + 0.1 = ~3 buds)

Mini-suggestion for P. Fetti Larrikin:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21118523 - Sold for P. Fetti Softcap (~0.9 buds, outdated)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20873444 - Sold for Bubbling Dr. Dapper's (~17 keys, outdated)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20869410 - Sold for 19 keys as stated (valuing as a bud)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20851134 - Sold with Blizzardy Hot Dogger for G. Fetti Tree (1.8 - 18.5 keys (1 bud) = 0.8 buds)

Going with 0.8 - 1 bud, 0.9 as mid value here.

Roboactive Bonnet will be taken as 3 - 4, 3.2 being used for calculations (incl. overpay)

Aus. Pro KS Grenade Launcher:

$92.00 x2

$90.01 (it's over 9000!!! xDDdd rolfmao)

$118.44

$69.00

$77.98

$120.00

$91.99

$149.99

$120.98

$115.00

$113.00

$113.28

$109.99

$112.56

$115.70

$105.00

$108.00

All of these add to $1,914.92

1914.92 / 18 = $106.38

106.38 / 2.49 = 42.74 keys

42.74 / 16.75 = ~2.5 buds

With overpay, 2.3 buds

Aus. Pro KS Stickybomb Launcher:

$113.01

$86.26

$57.50

$83.00

$87.00

$70.21

$80.00 x2

$86.50 x2

$92.00

$91.80

$93.93

$111.64

$91.23

$88.18

$126.03

$74.99

$77.05

$60.99

$75.00

$75.90

$78.80

$87.34 x2

This adds to $2,142.20

2142.2 / 25 = $85.69

85.69 / 2.49 = 34.41 keys

34.41 / 16.75 = ~2.1 buds

With overpay, 1.9 buds

Aus. Pro KS Eyelander:

$85.62

$97.75

$108.93

$116.01

$107.64

$90.00

$97.79 x2

$169.99

$154.99

$172.50

$171.78

$126.50

$114.57 x2

$135.84

Adds to $1,962.27

1962.27 / 16 = $122.64

122.64 / 2.49 = 49.25 keys

49.25 / 16.75 = ~2.9 buds

With overpay, 2.6 buds

3.2 + 2.3 + 1.9 + 2.6 + 0.1 = 10.1 buds total

Rounding to 10 buds!

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Sale #2:

http://backpack.tf/item/443340128

http://backpack.tf/item/429411307

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20372269 - Sold for GE Luchadore + PE Luchadore (both duped)

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Sale #3:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19861879 - Sold for C9 War Pig + Peace Topi + Orbiting Fire Gibus + Miami Slick Cut + DP Belt

(buds were 18 keys at the time)

5.6 + 0.9 + 6.3 + 2.1 + 2.7 = 17.6 buds.

Rounding to 18 buds!

Mini for Topi:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19679680#my - 13 keys + sweets (turned out to be only an uncraft hi-5 taunt lol) = 14 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19358973 - 17 keys

None on OP, only valid sales I could find - taking 14 - 17, 15.5 keys (0.9 buds) as a mid value

Mini for Slick Cut:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20361709 - Sold for SF Spec. KS Rocket Launcher (outlier, I did the math, comes to about 1.6 buds)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20112259 - Sold for DBD Slick Cut (~2.3 buds)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19908595 - Sold for AH Marauder (~1.9 buds)

Taking 1.9 - 2.3, mid value being 2.1.

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Sale #4:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19977352 - Can't identify sale

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Sale #5:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19900397 - Sold for Phos. Brown Bomber + Electrostatic Softcap (duped)

10.8 + 2.3 = 13.1 buds

Rounding to 13 buds!

Mini for Softcap:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19980965 - Can't identify sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19123690 - Sold for C9 Fez (~2.4 buds)

Only identifiable sale. Using 2.4.

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Sale #6:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19699560 - Sold for DP TC (~6.7 buds)

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Okay, that was a lot of effort. Range is being established on #1 and #5. #3 is far too big to be counted in, and whilst #2 could be done, I'm at my wits end here. I will resuggest if anyone comes up with a range changing value for #2. This was a massive task, so please let me know if I've messed up, it's bound to have happened! Thank you for reading this all, and until next time... Farewell.

5686 characters holy shit

I forgot to mention, and I'm putting this separate to the suggestion as it's already a mess, for the Aussie weapons in Sale #1, I'm using all the SCM solds over the past month to get a mean price, then dividing it by the value of keys, then buds, to get a rough value.

Shouldnt you incorporate fees?

I've had suggestions using the same method I use.

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53bce92e4cd7b8b8018b4568

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53bb31054cd7b82b148b4568

I've never had to incorporate fees.

You're suppose to take the 15% charge fee on S.C.M.

If Keys on S.C.M says $2.50 its not really $2.50 you have to take the 15% tax thing as well because 15% of the money are going straight to Valve.

...And yes, I have seen the links you posted.

I personally don't see why taxes should be incorporated - if (for example) people are willing to buy keys for $2.49 on SCM, then isn't that a more accurate representation of the market than people wanting to receive $2.17 for selling them? I'm not talking just keys either.

If these KS items were to be actually officially priced on bp.tf, I'd probably get a mod's confirmation on this, as it's a weird matter, but you must understand these are simply minisuggestions - even if I did incorporate the taxes, the first sale would probably have come out to 9.6 or something and it'd still round it to 10 regardless.

Also, as I have stated, I've had suggestions where I haven't incorporated taxes and it's been okay, but admittedly, those were rather small ones and my suggestion really hinges on my SCM pricing in a way. I'm happy to resuggest if a mod requests it, but otherwise, I'm keeping this up.

Ah, thank you for clearing it up and you are right these are involving mini-suggestions. ^.^

Would you mind if I add you? Got some questions and all.

Go for it!

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072605490?time=1403074800 - PE + GE lucha ~13? one is duped though, so maybe 12-13?

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049054413?time=1402815600 - vivid stash + 1 ~10?

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013095772?time=1403161200 - sold for 11ish?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20249513 - this sale is wrong. A scorching beanie was also added in that trade. Total sale value is about 15, it seems: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072685986?time=1402729200

Sales 7 (dp tc at the time), 10, 12, 13, 13, 15, 18. One could debate what the range should be based on these sales. Given the votes and the knowledge that these sales all happened about a month ago and the price has likely had a further downtrend, going to accept this.