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Before you say I don't have enough proof, look at the market. Only 3 pages on outpost and most are painted. There are also a bunch of people asking for "backpack.tf price" but there is a range.
Sellers at 5 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20726855
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21010026
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21059701
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21021106
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20972822
Unsolds at 5.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21142458
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20985876
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21163947
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21135282
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21166605
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20880207
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21171036
http://bazaar.tf/trade/883473
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/?item=Backstabber%27s%20Boomslang&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1
1x 5 ref seller, 4x 5.33 sellers, one with free paint
All your unsolds have less than a day,but one has a week,try to find more unsolds that have more than a day old.
No more unsolds, everything else is painted/they want backpack.tf price which is unclear
Well then the item sells at the current price, if it didn't there would be more trades with items unsold for a longer period of time.