Suggestion: It's a Secret to Everybody Blighted Beak at 570 keys

Price Suggestion

~640 keys

secret

47 votes up

13 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Mon, 28 Jul 14 04:20:04 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

Once again a poor innocent beak has fallen through the cracks. Lost and alone for over a year and a hat, SUDDENLY it has resurfaced, YEARNING to have a true price.

and boy has it been whored around.

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9623343[/url] This is where WOOT offered Shaw the beak for his Secret Bubble Pipe + Skull Noir.(Declined) (But then happened)

GRAND TOTAL = 25 in Unusuals! (24 + 3.5 = 27.5 * 80% = 22)

We'll start in a simpler time, the last sighting of this Fuzzy Wuzzy:

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9837549[/url]

The last known offer was: Blizzardy Tough Stuff + 5 buds + $500 + 14 keys. (18-21ish pure + TSM) GRAND TOTAL = 31 mixed.

before it was taken to private.

Now, fast forward to present day.

BlueBirdo has an Extravagantly large trade on outpost: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19898587[/url]

He wanted pure. His post states a $894, which he would accept by June 17th. GRAND TOTAL = 28 pure

(It seems there was a side-deal involving Birdo's C9 Tyro and Parsec's Conga Showstopper)

Now, the Beak goes to Parsec.

Parsec has a trade up for Two Days. And it closes with no comments. [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20570248[/url]

YET IT WAS SOLD! :O

Digging deeper he seems to have sold it for: V. Bills, C. Moon Tyrant's, Peace Capper, Beams Bonnet, C. Hearts Swagman, and a Burning Bucket Helm

GRAND TOTAL = 20 in Unusuals (14 + 1 + 3.5 + 5 + 4 = 24 * 80% = 19-20ish) <--- Unknown Price

Finally, with no documented trading, it's ended up in Ban[G]reg's BP for a Cloudy Moon Wraith Wrap (Source, Parsec!). .

GRAND TOTAL = 31 in Unusuals (38 = 38 * 80% = 30.5)

Here it lies currently, unoffered upon. [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20675035[/url]

After downtime for so long, a rush of activity has surged forth, involving a lot of trading in a short time. Yet, it seems to consistently hang around the 30 mark, The old trades AND the new ones.

Please discuss in the comments below, and let me know if I did any of this wrong. I hardly ever make suggestions, but seeing no price broke my heart. :c.

UPDATE

Overpay seems to be 90%, not 80%, sorry guys. Here's the updated prices:

Secret Bubble Pipe + Skull Noir. GRAND TOTAL = 24.5 in Unusuals! (24 + 3.5 = 27.5 * 90% = 24.5)

Blizzardy Tough Stuff + 5 buds + $500 + 14 keys. (18-21ish pure + TSM) GRAND TOTAL = 27-31 mixed! (18-21ish pure + 9-10 TSM)

$894 GRAND TOTAL = 28 pure[.b]

V. Bills, C. Moon Tyrant's, Peace Capper, Beams Bonnet, C. Hearts Swagman, and a Burning Bucket Helm [b]GRAND TOTAL = 24.5 in Unusuals (14 + 1 + 3.5 + 5 + 4 = 24 * 90% = 24.5ish)

Cloudy Moon Wraith Wrap GRAND TOTAL = 34.5 in Unusuals (38 = 38 * 90% = 34.5)

As you can see, it really doesn't change many of the prices, but I wanted to be accurate as possible! Thanks

Alaska sold it for a cloudy wrap to Bang.

Thanks man! sorry if there's anything wrong with YOUR part in it. I tried to dig deep

Burning Sole Mate wasn't part of the deal, it is a recent acquisition :)

Another thanks!

Overpay is 90% isn't it?

Yeah, plz fix.

Fixed! Thanks for the catch!

Shouldn't the range be like 28-31?

Thanks for the suggestion, but there are a few issues here.

(1) Sales >3 months for any hat are too old to use to set a current price.

(2) The moon wraith has a 7 month old price which is too old to use. You'll need to make a suggestion for that first before using it as proof here.

(3) Your sale at 894 doesn't appear to have actually sold for 894. It was involved in a complex sale involving multiple items. You will need to figure out the value in that exact trade to use it as proof here.

That leaves us with 1 valid sale on this suggestion. Parsec's sale at ~25. Seems like 25 flat might work. Though ideally, the wraith would get priced first and this would get a range based on the wraith sale.