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4 month old price
Solds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20977865 - 26 keys = ~ 1.4 bud
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20926056 - 26 keys = ~ 1.4 bud
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20909256 - 27 keys = ~ 1.4 bud
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21083228 - 25 keys = ~ 1.3 buds
Sellers :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21248305 - 30 keys = ~ 1.6 bud
Proof of them selling for thoose prices? Thoose are just B/O's and that doesn't mean it sold for that price.
You can't base your higher end with a B/O either.
I agree with the drop based on buyouts but the proof is not good enough. There is no indication of what it sold for because you're assuming all of them went for pure buyouts.
Let's look at your proof in terms of time:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20977865 1 hour
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20926056 Instant
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20909256 18 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21083228 6 hours
Yea those are just closed trades with low buyouts. You haven't proven any have actually sold at that price