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Solds -
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19854101 - lvl 1 max(2.7) + 1 bud + 1key = 3.8 ~4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20126411 - Phos Lucky Shot(outdated) - seller at 5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20111957 - KaW HWNN(3.3*0.9) - 3 (outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21215165 - Miami Modest Pile of Hat, no overpay - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20831744
Sellers -
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21303519 - 4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21252849 - 4
Lucky -
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21184396 - 5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19395003 - 5
Modest -
Sellers at 6
Pure > 3rd gen
So the low end is based on pure and the high is based off the B/Os of the hats they traded for? Pretty weak proof of that 6 buds tbh.