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Proof below. Overpay calculated. Original prices used
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20356885 + http://i.imgur.com/8qfVt88.png
Blizz Tossle + 6 keys = 3 buds
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117141623?time=1402383600 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117141623?time=1402470000
Aces Bonk Boy = 2.6 buds
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108044378?time=1401260400 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108044378?time=1401346800A
Added ~4 keys for a C. Hearts Mirror = 3.4 buds
Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3
Maybe it makes more sense to just confirm current range with 3 - 3.4 sales, 2.6 (4th gen) outlier ? Range doesn't have to include all sales, right ?
I see no reason to exclude 2.6 buds.
Well, most of experienced traders would never take 4th gen underpay, it just looks like outlier to me. This will be interesting :)
We'll see ;)