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1 year outdated, lets give it a little update.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21050475 bought it with : http://i.imgur.com/1SawpnP.png
This is essentially : (18 - 9.5 = 8.5 buds.)
The sweets come to around 4 keys, or about 0.2 in todays pricing. So 8.7 buds Total.
I checked todays market, not many of these listed :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21054024
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15096289 9 months old :p
I'll just roll with 8.7 buds flat for the moment.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052250908?time=1405666800 - burning stovepipe + sweets. Definitely under 8.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21015335 - b/o 7
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20794910 - b/o on the crones was 17 in pure. Can't be valued more than that. Range is probably high. Given the uncertain nature of these sales, probably best to wait for more defined ones. Based on these alone, my guess is that the value is closer to ~7.5