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4 months old price
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21061489 - offered beret for memory leak YWN ~2.9 ( http://imgur.com/bmT5fbO )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21192241 - sold for aces chapeau ~3.6*0,9 = ~3.2 ( http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082190089?time=1405269835 )
Offers within last week:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13284723
Clean smoking modest (~2.9)
Outlier
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13284723 - sold for GBH topi (~2.6)*0,9 = ~2.3
Holy fucking rise of the 3rd gens.
I... I... every last fiber of my being is telling me not to upvote. Raising a third gen that you own one of... nyaaaargh.
And yet the proof is sound. Take my up- my upvo- ack, I can't bring myself to say it ;_;
Yeesh, when I first tried to price this I had a range of 2.1-2.5. How this is almost a bud above that is beyond me but the hats all have prices that aren't even a month old and I doubt a drop could be justified for either one.
Aces chapeau was just updated: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53d1754c4dd7b8bf1f8b4568. Value at the time of the sale was certainly closer to this new suggestion considering this trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20932375