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Resuggesting with a rounded range.
Typical B/O for this hat is twice what they've actually been selling for, a great example of selling =/= sold.
Want to spend your weekend pricing hats unusuals? Then get in on the fun of the price event thing http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/forum/20-general-website-discussions/
Sold for 5 buds
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058483660?time=1403420400 (Before)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058483660?time=1403506800 (After)
Offered on (and sold for) a Green Black Hole Salty Dog (~4.8)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20232543
Offered on (and sold for) a Spellbound Salty Dog alongside a bud = ~3.8 (Two valid prices exist for the hat, using the suggestion made within 10 days of the sale in question)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20073030
Sold for a Bayonet | Blue Steel (Minimum Wear) (~4 buds, see my SCM based analysis below)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20719306 (Knife)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21066462 (Tyrantium)
I'm probably going to get this wrong since I've managed to avoid using CS:GO items, SCM, and cash trades as a whole until now but I really don't want to base this price on the sales of one hat when more than a couple exist so if I do get it wrong please point it out and I'll resuggest. Anyways, that knife consistently sells at anywhere between ~$140 to ~$180 meaning people are getting roughly ~$135 (160*0.85) and taking buds at $34 that gives a value of 4 buds for this sale.
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/730/%E2%98%85%20Bayonet%20%7C%20Blue%20Steel%20%28Minimal%20Wear%29