Price Suggestion
~110 keys
scorch
Unusual Noble Amassment of Hats Scorching Flames
74 votes up
29 votes down
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Added 2 pure for Burning Rack

11.7 - 2 = 9.7 * 0.9 = 8.7, rounding to 9(low-end)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112084396?time=1397977200 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112084396?time=1398107874

(Hive Minder came from elsewhere, presumably taken off scm)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20015268

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037468040?time=1401087600 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037468040?time=1401262163

Sold for Stormy Bomber, Bubbling Private Eye, Scorching Elfin Deal, gifted C Bubbles Prancers and 1 pure

3.5 + 1.1 + 4.2 + 1.4 = 10.2 * 0.9 = 9.2 + 1 = 10.2, rounding to 10.(high-end)


Sold for Scorching Panama + MN Headsplitter (wanted the hat, no overpay)

10.8, rounding to 11 outlier

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18865087 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18925169

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007854351?time=1396162800 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007854351?time=1396249200

Only a few days over the 3 month mark, I think it should be fine.


Added 13 keys of sweets for a duped Burning Pot

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079338790?time=1399878000 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079338790?time=1400055886

9.3 - 0.7 = 8.6 * 0.9 = 7.5, outlier


Pot mini:

Sold for P Fetti Rack, Ghosts Rack and Gifted G Fetti Stash

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006931250?time=1403593200 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006931250?time=1403960669

4 + 2.3 + 4 = 10.3 * 0.9 = 9.3


Stash mini:

Sold for Max, C9 Fuka (2 clean sellers on the market for 2 buds, even though price is higher) and 31 keys

2 * 0.9 = 1.8 + 3 + 1.8 = 6.6, weird

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060520862?time=1404198000 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060520862?time=1404366944


Added P Fetti Rack and Ghosts Rack for duped Ghosts Honcho + Steaming Stash + 7 keys

2.8 + 0.4 + 3.8 = 7 - 4 - 2.8 = 0.2, very weird

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006931250?time=1403420400 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006931250?time=1403677331


Sold for 4 pure, using that because it makes sense

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049968240?time=1402815600 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049968240?time=1402933254


Honcho mini:

Sold for Ghosts Rack + 4 keys

4 * 0.9 = 3.6 + 0.2 = 3.8

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091481121?time=1403682965 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091481121?time=1403420400


Sold with Ghosts Pickel (just outdated) for 5.2 pure

5.2 - 2.5 (pickel w overpay) = 2.7, but they were quickselling so invalid

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041649513?time=1399705200 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041649513?time=1399792050

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19465813


Using 3.8.


Prancer's mini:

Sold for Bubbling Tree (only just outdated)

1.5 * 0.9 = 1.4

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025938411?time=1401087600 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025938411?time=1403334000


Conclusion:

Both:The 7.5bud sell and the 11bud sale are outliers.Using 9-10 as a price range.

    Why is the arrow pointing down?

    First, it would be nice to give credit to other people for providing the research. There are some people who spent a lot of time looking for these sales. I forgot to mention this on your other suggestion.


    Second, as indicated in the last suggestion, your only proof of 10 is coming from a sale in which the seller had a b/o of 9 in pure. That sale cannot be valued more than 9. There is not enough here for your high end given the proof you have here.