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7.8 buds? No. Just... no.
Resuggesting with more evidence that I don't even know how I missed -_-
OUTPOST OVERVIEW:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21262618 B/O of 6 (3 days)
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21080647 Sold for TW Tyrant (4.4) + BMOC (~0.5) + 18 keys (~1)
(4.9 * 0.9) + 1 = 5.41 (rounding to 5.4 = outlier)
Histories:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2780928272,99,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2702127458,99,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2772580947,666,6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21068653 Sold for Miami Tosslecap (4.5)
4.5 * 0.9 = 4.05 (rounding to 4.1)
Histories:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2780928272,99,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2758933289,150,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21025234 Sold for Power Surge Voodoo (3.3)
3.3 * 0.9 = 2.97 (rounding to 3)
Histories:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2777385059,99,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2756611874,935,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21128955 Sold for Miami Front Runner (3.8)
3.8 * 0.9 = 3.42 (rounding to 3.4)
Histories:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2765465707,99,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2765465686,760,5
Let it ride.
It appears 4.1 is the outlier, as the range could be 3 - 3.4, as 3.4 and 4.1 have a large gap. Perhaps it's best to wait for another sale.
I figured with the sale at 5.4, a reasonably large range was, well, reasonable.
Just over a bud range isn't THAT wide, anyways. I think this is the best current representation :3
And either way, I'm just gonna write it off as conservative-ism XD
Let me be the first to say-
1) dat drop
2) dat overprice
Wow, and I thought I killed this hat last time....
Oh no, you killed it... I'm just dancing on its grave >:3