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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21492031 - .66 (young, poorly bumped)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21433694 - .66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21329398 - .88 ( 6 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21229801 - 1 ref (a week)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21013060 - 1 ref ( 2 weeks)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21349840 -1 (5 days)
http://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Boo%20Balloon/Tradable/Non-Craftable - x1 .66, x1 .77, x1 .88, x1 1 ref
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21013060[/url] -- Sold for 1 ref
Considering how little proof there is (it may be appropriate considering size of market), I'm gonna downvote.
He's not removing 1 ref from the range.