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No one has ever dared to suggest on this hat? Well I'm about to change that!
1. sale
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20679987 Sold for a Terror Watt Flipped Trilby - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20648769
Mini suggestion for the Fedora:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21032293 Sold for a Cauldron Bubbles Brain Bucket(2.7) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21035782
This will give the Fedora a price of 2.43 with overpay, rounding to 2.4.
Kill-a-Watt Fed-Fightin' Fedora(2.4)*0.9 = 2.16 rounding to 2.2
Toal ~ 2.2 buds
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2. sale
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20505764 Sold for a Terror Watt Flipped Trilby - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20648769
Mini suggestion for the Cannonball:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19822770 Sold for 1 bud + 9 keys
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059164242?time=1402038000
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059164242?time=1402210800
This will give the Cannonball a price of 1.47 buds, rounding to 2.5
Steaming Human Cannonball(1.5)*0.9 = 1.35 rounding to 1.4
Total ~ 1.4 buds
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That was all!
Any support, good counter proof or feedback is appreciated!
I was actually going to do a suggestion for this hat until you did. I checked your suggestion and I immediately saw something wrong.
Your second sale had nothing to do with the trilby. The cannonball was sold for a different hat. Which means this suggestion ends up with one sale. Problem is, that this hat doesn't meet the criteria for 1 sale because Terror-Watt is a summer effect, and summer effects are not eligible for 1 sales.
Conclusion: I'm sure you can find a sale from the original unboxer since there's only a 3 person history, and from there make a correct suggestion. Close this before a price moderator does.
Unless you prove that the Canonball was sold for another hat, I will not close this. I can't really check now since I am on a phone.
I cannot find the sale. I checked the date of time when it was sold and simply can't find the hat it was sold for. Regardless, history of the unusual proves that it wasn't sold for the trilby.
According to outpost you are right, but there must have been some bug in the system for them, since the history that backpack.tf displays shows that Clony was the previous owner of the hat: http://backpack.tf/item/2678509085
Might have been a bug then. I was only checking the history on the trilby in outpost, not in bp.tf, so technically this sale is correct. Upvote.
You can check the itemids. They match up. Trilby was sold for the cannonball and it looks like ~3 keys in items were added. http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096693465?time=1403938800
Don't apply overpay twice on the same suggestion. The point of overpay is to derive a pure value for an item. You are calling the fed 2.4 in pure. So it wouldn't make sense to take a second overpay off its pure value to get 2.2. That would be the same as taking overpay on a pure sale.
Still http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030563843?time=1405926000 - also sold in this range. Is this close enough?
But when I make the mini suggestion, I make it like it was a real suggestion, and if the Fedora had been updated I would have to add overpay right? Then I don't see why theres something wrong there.
Sorry if I'm being ignorant here.
That's a valid point. It's hard to control for sales across suggestions. But the problem with doing that is that when you get consecutive sales on hats you go from a value of 90% to 81% to 72% etc. even if all the hats were 1:1. Suddenly, after a string of 1:1 trades, what started out as a 10 buds hat is now <5 in value.
The issue we have is it's not often clear who offered. No overpay should be applied if the hat was offered, and if we assume that the other hat was offered every time, we get into this problem of hats losing values. If there are two consecutive sales where it's unclear which was offered, I think it would be fair to count overpay on one and not the other.
Impossible to account for this across suggestions but at the very least we can reduce some of this within a suggestion.