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Site claims only one exist but two are up on outpost. Other one hasn't sold in months and was last owned by a scammer.
I'll clarify it now since I know people will be thinking about it; I didn't apply overpay on whatever item the toque was sold alongside but applied overpay to the other parties items when there was no clear indication of who offered to who. There's no point in applying overpay to items on both sides of the trade and applying overpay to the item I'm pricing will just get very messy so I compromised.
Sold alongside a Memory Leak Large Luchadore (~2.2) for a Purple Confetti German Gonzilla (~0.8) and a Green Confetti Blighted Beak (~3.8) = ~2.4 for Toque, calling this an outlier
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21470206 (Medic set)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21485384 (Heavy set)
Sold alongside a Circling Hearts Crown (~3.2 see http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53d510cf4dd7b8740c8b4568 ) for a Flaming Lantern Flamenco (~4.5) = ~1.3 for Toque
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21273652 (Crown and Toque)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21210715 (Flamenco)
Crown and Toque were then sold for a Searing Plasma Pyromancer's Mask (~4.7) = ~1.5 for Toque
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21303757
the two sales are the same person relisting.. aight? did you check that they actually sold?
Look at the item histories
2 exist: http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Tough%20Guy's%20Toque/Tradable/Craftable/63
Its mah trades, yey