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Second attempted at first unusual suggestion.
http://i.imgur.com/SpLAhP8.png 13 keys (was a quick sell - I know the buyer)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21206446#latest 14 keys (I was offered 14 keys with no b/o so I think it's kind of a quick sell)
http://i.imgur.com/p6tfZH3.png 15 keys
http://imgur.com/4GSQXQY 1:1 Terror-Watt Pugilist's Protector 1.2 buds x 0.9 = 1.08 so I'll round to 1
Let me know if you think of a better range and I'll repost.
The second sale doesn't appear to be a quicksale.
would a 14 - 15 range be better? because my 1 bud high end might be an outliner .
I'm not sure, but the protector does appear to be outdated.
With additional proof here, I think the range is fine: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53e374484ed7b85f328b4740