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If stats.tf are okay, last sale for this hat was made on June 2nd of this year. Around 2 months ago
Sale
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20149350
Sold for 3 pure
~~
Dat's all.
Sold without a bump
He actually bumped it and reduced the price from 5 to 3, You just can't see it because it was 2 months ago.
The trade itself even calls it a "crazy quicksale", though.
Agreed, he sold it quick since he reduced the price from 5 buds to 3 buds, but unfortunately it's the only sale in the past 2 months for a Halloween effect. What else could I do? =/
Wait for another sale that is not a quicksell.
Current owner has been trying to sell it for a month, who knows even more, without notable offers on it. I don't think another sale is happening in a while.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20193952 ~ First try
Only offers I have seen
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21288983
Miami Casemaker. Outdated but probably >3.
I think there is enough doubt about whether 3 is a quicksell or not. If you can make a suggestion on the casemaker, I suspect it will end up around ~4-5. A range of ~3-4 might be reasonable here. If the casemaker ends up 4.5+, then you have a pretty good indication that 3 is an outlier.