Price Suggestion
~$0.03
Unique Refined Metal
400 votes up
353 votes down
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Hello there everyone. Hope you all are doing great! ^_^


Re-suggesting x3


Since mod themselves told .25 is possible, I have re-suggested with .23 - .25


Sellers at $0.24


http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=27447.0

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21367923


http://puu.sh/afwQ6/2c74734eb6.png -- http://puu.sh/afxbY/cb3edd3930.png (Sold over 100 at $.24) [Thanks KoD]


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20071148 || History :


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028742961?time=1405753200 (Had 16 refined metal at 19th of July 2014)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028742961?time=1405926000 (Sold almost all by 21ist of July 2014) [Has only 2 ref left on 21st July 2014]


Sellers at $0.23


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16140132

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20151346

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15565942

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21153358

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21124546 --> Sold all for $.23

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21110741 --> Sold many for $.23 now selling for $.24 here : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21367923

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19693292

http://www.reddit.com/r/tf2trade/comments/2ae2pl/h_190_usd_paypal_w_tons_of_metal_for_023_usd_each/

http://www.reddit.com/r/tf2trade/comments/28inbq/h_paypal_w_refined_023_keys_185_usd/

http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=28533.0

http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=29579.0

http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=28836.0


Was new on second suggestion

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21110741 --> Sold out

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21315456

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20151346

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20125821


http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=30188.0

http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=29463.0


New

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21496273

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21244300

http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=30327.0

http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=30020.0

http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=29463.0


Sellers/Sold at $0.25 (Puddington said all my .25 links sold out)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21139273

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21164570

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20019133

http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=28608.0


KoD : Sold 15 ref for .25 each: http://puu.sh/afxg5/d0f793a95a.png --> http://puu.sh/afxp0/993d5da7d5.png


New (Sold at .25) :


http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=30327.0


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045005030?time=1406530800 --> Had 13 refined metals at 28th July 2014

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045005030?time=1406703600 --> Have 7 refined metals at 30th July 2014

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


¹: http://www.wmtransfer.com/eng/about/ - States webmoney currencies

²: http://www.oanda.com/currency/converter/ - Simple converter for currency

If you're too lazy...

1 Russian Rouble (RUB/WMR) ~ $0.02803 USD

1 British Pound (£) ~ $1.68506 USD

1 Euro (€) ~ $1.38016 USD

NOTE: These are rough translations and may change as values rise and fall


=/=\=/=\=/=/=/=\=/=\=/=/=/=\=/=\=/=/=/=\=/=\=/=/=/=\=/=\=/=/

Conclusion : $.23 - $.24 looks good for now. Well, then .23 - .25 it is.

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Add : Hardly any sellers above $.23

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Add 2 : Posted all available sellers. Also, I posted one/two buyers just to show both side of market. Most buyers are buying for around .20 - .21

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Add 3 : Thanks d0 for a bit of help on this and Kejsumaru™ for the converter links.

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Add 4 : Added few new links to .23. Removed .21 - .22 links... Again, keep in mind ref to paypal market is very very small.

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Add 5 : Few links have have sold out. 3rd time is the charm I guess or so they say.

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Feel free to hate, support or give good counter-proof.

~~~

Thanks to all Supporters, Moderators, Haters, Highballers, Lowballers, Mechanics, Engineers, Developers, Archaeologist, and Aliens obviously

    It breaks my heart that not only keys are dropping in ref, ref is also dropping in USD

      I feel that Refined should stay the same price that it is now. I'm not so concerned about Refined as I am with Keys. Assuming that Refined prices will stay the same, that means that Keys should go up in price as well. It's simple math that apparently a lot of people don't care about.

    Keep the spamming to the GB.

These suggestions are not getting any better.

    How so? Please elaborate. Mods would have told me to not suggest at all if a bump down wasn't needed.


    Since mods said .25 is possible, I don't see how .23 - .25 is not getting any better.

    I dunno man. I understand that you feel like the price of this needs to be changed, but you could use persistence like this in other spots too. Just my two cents, though.

    This makes no sense, if you divide the price of a key by the amount of ref you get ref valued at 30 cents not 25 cents. If key prices go down, then ref prices must go up or else the whole tf2 trading will go to shit.

      On this website, prices are determined by supply and demand, not what may be best (in someone's opinion) for the Mannconomy. Key & ref prices do not exist in tandem, and they don't always exist in harmony, either. If the proof says they both fall, then they both fall. Go deflation!

        Then you have obviously never taken a simple economy class before. How can you trade someone ref that doesn't even amount to the value of their key in USD? It makes absolutely no sense.

          I'm not saying it's wise. I'm just saying it's happening. I personally don't sell my ref for USD, so I don't care that much either way. But as far as proof goes, I'm upvoting.

        It actually comes out to about $0.245, keys being $1.99 / 8.11 refined each = 0.2453 ≈ $0.245.

          I think it's mostly due to the steam market with that. People sell for 2 dollars there generally (which leaves it at a total cost of $2.30 I believe) which the makes ref only 25 cents

            Hate incomming.

            Still have no idea how 2 sales at $0.25 could ruin your pervious suggestion (to me, It was more accurate as we record the most commonly traded price).

            Straight upvote from me.

              The pretty clear counterpoint to this statement is that keys are falling rapidly in refined.


              Going from 8.33 to 8.00 in just over a week means a 4% increase in value if keys are relatively consistent in dollars (based on steam market, demand remains pretty strong). That means that several-week-old sales are not going to accurately reflect pricing. Look back through the $0.23 sellers again (or wait ten minutes while I do) and see if they're still selling.

              Let's go back through those sellers:


              Sellers at $0.24

              http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=27447.0

              -Not bumped since May

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21367923

              -Currently $0.22

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20071148

              -Sold out, still very little refined in backpack.


              Sellers at $0.23


              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16140132

              -Looks active

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20151346

              -Closed, no relist

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15565942

              -Apparently very active trader, hard to say if any ref sales

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21153358

              -Closed, no relist

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21124546 --> Sold all for $.23

              -(Closed)

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21110741 --> Sold many for $.23 now selling for $.24 here : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21367923

              -(Closed)

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19693292

              -Repeat of $0.24 seller 2. Relisted, currently $0.22: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21367923

              http://www.reddit.com/r/tf2trade/comments/2ae2pl/h_190_usd_paypal_w_tons_of_metal_for_023_usd_each/

              -This is a buyer, but documented sale so probably OK

              http://www.reddit.com/r/tf2trade/comments/28inbq/h_paypal_w_refined_023_keys_185_usd/

              -This is a buyer.

              http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=28533.0

              -This is now $0.24

              http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=29579.0

              -Active, but no bumps or edits since June 12th.

              http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=28836.0

              -"Temporary stopped"


              Was new on second suggestion


              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21110741 --> Sold out

              -Yep. No re-trade.

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21315456

              -Bitcoins only

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20151346

              -Repeat of second link in category above; closed.

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20125821

              -Not selling

              http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=30188.0

              -Had very small stock, sold out, and not updated since 7/20

              http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=29463.0

              -Still active, but not modified since the 7/16 bump


              New


              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21496273

              -Closed, no replacement

              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21244300

              -Last documented sale 7/23: http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=26320.msg116775#msg116775

              http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=30327.0

              -Now $0.25 as of 7/29

              http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=30020.0

              -Bitcoin only, currently $0.22

              http://tf2-trader.com/index.php?topic=29463.0

              -Repeat of last one in the prior category.


              Summary: Almost all $0.23 sellers with an update in the last week have raised their price, except for one, who has dropped it to $0.22 (might be iffy trader, but might just be outlier). Another couple have switched to bitcoin-only, not sure how that affects pricing relative to paypal.


              Not sure exactly what to make of this as far as actual voting, honestly, but I went through it all, so consider it an evidence update whichever way you want to interpret it.

                Please read my conclusion and adds. It explains everything you need to know. You can't expect a trade to stay open for eternity and have unlimited supply. Many are from my 1st suggestion on this, many are new and many are still selling. I provided all.


                Also, you can't deny the fact that you can get it quite easily for $.23

                  Good job on going through the "evidence" and briefly explaining how 50% of it is no longer valid as they are closed. 1month+ old, or have raised their price. Theres even a link in the "sales" part which is actually a buyer....

                  Downvote from me, but for you sir, you get a click on the shiny "like" button, enjoy!

                  I don't understand why people would buy ref for cash in the first place... Wanna waste spend money in this game? Go for keys and Buds...

                    lol xD


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