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Recently became outdated, so I'm updating it with some new sales.
Sale #1:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21590922 - Sold for a SBTWC Bone Dome (5.2 x .9 = ~4.7)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037271140?time=1406703600 - Seller's backpack before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037271140?time=1406876400 - Seller's backpack after
Sale #2:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21555573 - Sold for a Showstopper Meet the Medic Taunt (~4.7, no overpay because offered on)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008170993?time=1406444400 - Seller's backpack before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008170993?time=1406530800 - Seller's backpack after
Sale #3 (Quicksale):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21527949 - Sold for a clean Max's and 19 keys (4, calling this a quicksale because it sold for pure B/O in 2 days)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064443270?time=1406358000 - Seller's backpack before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064443270?time=1406444400 - Seller's backpack after
Sale #4 (Outlier):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21273530 - Sold for a Burning Flames Sultan's Ceremonial (4.5 x .9 = ~4.2)
However, AA owner added 6 keys and a black Bills Hat, so sale is ultimately valued at ~3.6.
Calling this an outlier because of the above quicksell for 4 pure.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120637329?time=1406271600 - Seller's backpack before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120637329?time=1406358000 - Seller's backpack after
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064443270?time=1406358000 - Buyer's backpack after (more clearly demonstrates what was added)
Currently on Outpost:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19408975 - B/O of 6.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21543409 - B/O of 5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21683789 - No B/O
Updating the price to 4.7 flat.
If you have any constructive criticisms for my suggestion, let me know and I'll try to fix it.
2 Days isn't a quicksale and as such I feel you could do 4-4.7.
Solid proof btw, take my upvotes.
Nah, definitely safe to call that a quicksale outlier since it sold in 23 hours if I'm reading the timestamps right.
Suggestion otherwise seems fine, nothing blatantly apparent to me. No recent sales can be determined since one on outpost has never sold and the other last sold at least 3 months ago.
Yeah, that's my bad for mislabeling that as 2 days. I didn't realize I could pull up more detailed timestamps, so I just rounded up. 23 hours is correct.