Suggestion: Sunbeams Professional's Panama at 83.6–102.6 keys

Price Suggestion

~130 keys

sunbeams

88 votes up

33 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Tue, 19 Aug 14 19:18:04 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

This is a seriously underrated sniper hat

Beams is my favorite effect

Sale #1

Beams Panama + 2 buds for a duped burning milkman (see mini below)

8 buds – 2 buds = 6 buds * 0.9 = 5.4

Sellers bp before:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011002242?time=1404543600

After:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011002242?time=1404630000

Sale #2

Sold for a Searing Anger + 16 keys + 4 keys in items

4.7 buds + 0.2 buds = 4.9 buds = 4.4 buds after overpay + 0.8 buds = 5.2 buds

Sellers bp before:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059017180?time=1405666800

After:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059017180?time=1405839600

Sale #3

Sold with a g. energy bicorne, smoking pyromancers, and Stormy bomber for a c. moon modest

Sellers bp before:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042344661?time=1404802800

After:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042344661?time=1404889200

The prices on the modest and the bicorne are out of date, and I’m not doing mini’s on both

Sale #4

Sold for a strange bubbling veil

~3.7 after overpay

Buyers bp before:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086360658?time=1403852400

After:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086360658?time=1404111600

I’m gonna go ahead and call this an outlier, given the two sales at 5ish. Also, the price on the veil is out of date

Unsolds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21467086 - Looking for 4.4 pure only, declined 4 pure

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20856323 - No B/O, declined 4 pure

Burning milkman mini

Sold for a scorching scout shako

9.3 buds after overpay

Sellers bp before:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009028582?time=1405753200

After:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009028582?time=1406185200

Sale for 5 pure, seller bought it from a hijacker and got banned from outpost though so this isn’t the most valid sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21159896

Given the scorching shako sale at 9.3, I think its justified to give this hat its regular value of 8 buds

i never understood.

you base your lower end on 4.4,because it can't sell

but why then even include 5.2-5.4,when 4.4 clearly doesn't sell

hell why incude 4.4,as even that doesn't sell

so i'd say drop the B/O - BS,and price at 5.2-5.4

and last time i checked,pure wasn't easy to get by <,<

Yeah, thats sort of the problem with suggesting prices based on unusual sales... in reality, the 90% overpay that's used for suggestions here is rather low, a sale for a 6 bud unusual =/= 5.4 pure. My original plan was to price this thing at 5.2 buds - 5.4 buds, but that would be unrealistic, since prices are supposed to be based on pure, and it isn't selling at 4.4 pure, but you also can't discount the two valid unusual sales at 5+, so I made it a range...

but 5.4 is still included

even if it can't sell for pure.

that's why it doesn't make sense.

when people make b/o-s it's something they "think" is right

and ranges shouldn't be put on what they "think"

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21467086 - Still hasn't sold for 4.3.

Duped Burning Milkman shouldn't be equal to the clean one. You need to do another mini-suggestion for the duped Burning Milkman. You can't just assume that the duped Burning Milkman is valued at 9.3, probably an outlier. 5.4 is probably too high or not even accurate

Woah. Yeah, duped burning milkman is no where close to 9. The one sale you have for that is either not accurate or a huge outlier. Last I checked that was running around 7.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19362738 - sold for a bit over 7

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21270518 - a bit under 7 (was up for almost 2 weeks)

After overpay, that sale comes out to ~4.3. Sale at 5 looks like the outlier here given the b/os. Range seems like it's 3.7-4.3 based on the sales